Virginia vs Miami (FL) College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for ACC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Virginia Cavaliers (28-4, 15-3 ACC) and the No. 3 seed Miami Hurricanes (25-7, 13-5 ACC) play in the ACC tournament Friday at Spectrum Center, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Virginia vs. Miami (FL) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center

Virginia vs. Miami (FL) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Virginia win (62.4%)

Take a look at some betting insights for Virginia (-3.5) versus Miami (FL) on Friday. The over/under is set at 144.5 points for this game.

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Virginia vs. Miami (FL): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Virginia has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 16 times.
• Miami (FL) has put together an 18-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
• When the spread is set as 3.5 or more this season, Virginia (12-15) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (44.4%) than Miami (FL) (2-3) does as the underdog (40%).
• Against the spread, the Cavaliers have performed worse at home, covering eight times in 17 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
• Against the spread, the Hurricanes have had better results on the road (8-2-0) than at home (8-10-0).
• Virginia is 9-10-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
• Miami (FL) is 10-9-0 against the spread in ACC play this year.

Virginia vs. Miami (FL): Moneyline Betting Stats

• Virginia has been the moneyline favorite in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 23 times (88.5%) in those contests.
• The Cavaliers have a win-loss record of 22-3 when favored by -166 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Miami (FL) has won 60% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (6-4).
• The Hurricanes are 1-4 (winning only 20% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +138 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Virginia has a 62.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Virginia vs. Miami (FL) Head-to-Head Comparison

• Virginia averages 80.9 points per game (70th in college basketball) while giving up 68.4 per contest (45th in college basketball). It has a +398 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 12.5 points per game.
• Thijs De Ridder leads Virginia, scoring 15.8 points per game (233rd in the nation).
• Miami (FL) puts up 82.6 points per game (46th in college basketball) while giving up 70.8 per contest (93rd in college basketball). It has a +377 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 11.8 points per game.
• Malik Reneau paces Miami (FL), putting up 19.2 points per game (51st in college basketball).
• The Cavaliers record 36.9 rebounds per game (17th in college basketball) while allowing 28.8 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 8.1 boards per game.
• De Ridder tops the team with 6.2 rebounds per game (260th in college basketball play).
• The 34.3 rebounds per game the Hurricanes accumulate rank 63rd in the nation, 7.5 more than the 26.8 their opponents grab.
• Ernest Udeh Jr.'s 9.3 rebounds per game lead the Hurricanes and rank 22nd in college basketball.
• Virginia's 103.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 53rd in college basketball, and the 87.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 34th in college basketball.
• The Hurricanes rank 30th in college basketball with 105.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 68th defensively with 90.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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