Vanderbilt vs Mississippi State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 24

The Vanderbilt Commodores (16-3, 3-3 SEC) will look to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-9, 2-4 SEC) on January 24, 2026. The Bulldogs have lost four games in a row.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, January 24, 2026
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network+
• Location: Starkville, Mississippi
• Arena: Humphrey Coliseum

Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Vanderbilt win (75.2%)

Before you wager on Saturday's Vanderbilt-Mississippi State spread (Vanderbilt -7.5) or total (160.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.

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Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Vanderbilt has covered 10 times in 19 matchups with a spread this season.
• Mississippi State has covered six times in 19 chances against the spread this year.
• As a 7.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Mississippi State is 1-2 against the spread compared to the 6-6 ATS record Vanderbilt puts up as a 7.5-point favorite.
• In home games, the Commodores own an identical winning percentage against the spread as they do on the road (.500).
• The Bulldogs' winning percentage against the spread at home is .300 (3-7-0). On the road, it is .500 (2-2-0).
• Vanderbilt has two wins against the spread in conference play this year.
• Mississippi State has posted two SEC wins against the spread this season.

Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Vanderbilt has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 13 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (92.3%) in those games.
• The Commodores have been a -345 moneyline favorite on eight occasions this season and won every game.
• Mississippi State has compiled a 1-4 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 20% of those games).
• The Bulldogs have a 1-2 record (winning only 33.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +270 or longer.
• Vanderbilt has an implied victory probability of 77.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Vanderbilt's +290 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 90.2 points per game (11th in college basketball) while giving up 74.9 per outing (215th in college basketball).
• Tyler's 17.1 points per game lead Vanderbilt and are 130th in the country.
• Mississippi State has a +15 scoring differential, putting up 78.8 points per game (132nd in college basketball) and giving up 78 (290th in college basketball).
• Josh Hubbard's team-leading 21.7 points per game rank him 10th in the nation.
• The Commodores win the rebound battle by 2.8 boards on average. They collect 33.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 141st in college basketball, while their opponents grab 30.5 per contest.
• Devin is 184th in college basketball action with 6.8 rebounds per game to lead the Commodores.
• The 37.8 rebounds per game the Bulldogs accumulate rank 18th in the country, 2.3 more than the 35.5 their opponents collect.
• Achor Achor tops the Bulldogs with 7.1 rebounds per game (149th in college basketball).
• Vanderbilt averages 111 points per 100 possessions on offense (seventh in college basketball), and gives up 92.2 points per 100 possessions (145th in college basketball).
• The Bulldogs rank 234th in college basketball with 95 points scored per 100 possessions, and 195th defensively with 94 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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