Utah State vs Nevada College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Utah State Aggies (26-6, 15-5 MWC) will hit the court in the MWC tournament against the No. 5 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (22-11, 12-8 MWC), Friday at 9:30 p.m. ET live on CBS Sports Network.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Utah State vs. Nevada Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Utah State vs. Nevada Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Utah State win (70%)

Take a look at these betting trends and insights before you bet on Friday's Utah State-Nevada spread (Utah State -6.5) or over/under (145.5 points).

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Utah State vs. Nevada: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Utah State has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 19 times.
• Nevada has covered 18 times in 33 matchups with a spread this season.
• As a 6.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Nevada is 3-2 against the spread compared to the 10-13 ATS record Utah State puts up as a 6.5-point favorite.
• Against the spread, the Aggies have played better when playing at home, covering five times in 14 home games, and four times in 12 road games.
• The Wolf Pack's winning percentage against the spread at home is .588 (10-7-0). Away, it is .417 (5-7-0).
• Against the spread, in conference play, Utah State is 7-14-0 this year.
• Nevada has 13 wins against the spread in 22 MWC games this year.

Utah State vs. Nevada: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Utah State has been victorious in 24, or 85.7%, of the 28 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Aggies have come away with a win 21 times in 23 chances when named as a favorite of at least -280 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Nevada has been the underdog on the moneyline 12 total times this season. Nevada has gone 5-7 in those games.
• The Wolf Pack have played four times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +225 or longer, and lost each game.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Utah State has a 73.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Utah State vs. Nevada Head-to-Head Comparison

• Utah State was 40th in college basketball in points scored (79.9 per game) and 110th in points allowed (70) last year.
• Utah State was 214th in the country in rebounds per game (31.3) and 31st in rebounds conceded (28.3) last season.
• Last season Utah State was 13th-best in the nation in assists with 17.1 per game.
• Last year, Utah State was 108th in college basketball in turnovers committed (10.4 per game) and 62nd in turnovers forced (12.7).
• With 72.3 points per game on offense, Nevada ranked 221st in college basketball last season. Defensively, it surrendered 68.1 points per contest, which ranked 58th in college basketball.
• Last season Nevada averaged 29.5 rebounds per game (318th-ranked in college basketball) and ceded 28.2 rebounds per contest (28th-ranked).
• Last season Nevada ranked 77th in college basketball in assists, putting up 15 per game.
• Last season Nevada averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (50th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 11.4 turnovers per contest (166th-ranked).

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