Utah State vs Nevada College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Utah State Aggies (26-6, 15-5 MWC) will play the No. 5 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (22-11, 12-8 MWC) in the MWC tournament Friday at Thomas & Mack Center, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Utah State vs. Nevada Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Utah State vs. Nevada Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Utah State win (69.8%)

See these betting insights and trends before you wager on Friday's Utah State-Nevada spread (Utah State -6.5) or over/under (144.5 points).

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Utah State vs. Nevada: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Utah State has covered 12 times in 31 chances against the spread this season.
• Nevada has covered 18 times in 33 chances against the spread this season.
• When the spread is set as 6.5 or more this season, Utah State (10-13) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (43.5%) than Nevada (3-2) does as the underdog (60%).
• Against the spread, the Aggies have performed better at home, covering five times in 14 home games, and four times in 12 road games.
• Against the spread, the Wolf Pack have performed better at home (10-7-0) than away (5-7-0).
• Utah State has covered the spread seven times in 21 conference games.
• Nevada is 13-9-0 against the spread in MWC play this season.

Utah State vs. Nevada: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Utah State has been victorious in 24, or 85.7%, of the 28 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This year, the Aggies have won 21 of 23 games when listed as at least -285 or better on the moneyline.
• Nevada has been the moneyline underdog 12 total times this season. Nevada has finished 5-7 in those games.
• The Wolf Pack have played four times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +230 or longer, and fell in each game.
• Utah State has an implied victory probability of 74% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Utah State vs. Nevada Head-to-Head Comparison

• Utah State averages 82.9 points per game (38th in college basketball) while allowing 70.8 per outing (93rd in college basketball). It has a +390 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 12.1 points per game.
• Michael Collins Jr.'s team-leading 17.7 points per game ranks 115th in college basketball.
• Nevada outscores opponents by 4.8 points per game (posting 76.2 points per game, 169th in college basketball, and conceding 71.4 per outing, 111th in college basketball) and has a +161 scoring differential.
• Corey Camper Jr. is 139th in the country with a team-high 17.2 points per game.
• The Aggies pull down 30.5 rebounds per game (261st in college basketball) while conceding 28.9 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.6 boards per game.
• Mason Falslev tops the Aggies with 5.8 rebounds per game (327th in college basketball action).
• The 32.3 rebounds per game the Wolf Pack accumulate rank 154th in college basketball, 2.7 more than the 29.6 their opponents grab.
• Elijah Price tops the Wolf Pack with 8.3 rebounds per game (63rd in college basketball).
• Utah State ranks 19th in college basketball by averaging 107 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 77th in college basketball, allowing 91.3 points per 100 possessions.
• The Wolf Pack average 100.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (98th in college basketball), and concede 94.4 points per 100 possessions (155th in college basketball).

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