San Diego State vs New Mexico College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 2 seed San Diego State Aztecs (21-10, 14-6 MWC) head into the MWC tournament against the No. 3 seed New Mexico Lobos (23-9, 13-7 MWC) on Saturday at Thomas & Mack Center, tipping off at TBA ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
• Game time: TBA ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: San Diego State win (51.2%)

Take a look at these betting insights and trends before you bet on Saturday's San Diego State-New Mexico spread (San Diego State -2.5) or over/under (150.5 points).

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San Diego State vs. New Mexico: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• San Diego State has put together a 14-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• New Mexico has covered 17 times in 31 games with a spread this season.
• San Diego State (9-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (47.4%) than New Mexico (4-2) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (66.7%).
• The Aztecs have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered six times in 15 games at home, and they've covered six times in 10 games when playing on the road.
• The Lobos' winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (8-8-0). On the road, it is .583 (7-5-0).
• San Diego State's record against the spread in conference play is 11-10-0.
• New Mexico has 12 wins against the spread in 21 MWC games this year.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico: Moneyline Betting Stats

• San Diego State has been the moneyline favorite in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 19 times (82.6%) in those contests.
• The Aztecs have a mark of 16-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -138 or better on the moneyline.
• New Mexico has won three of the eight games it was the moneyline underdog this season (37.5%).
• The Lobos are 2-4 (winning just 33.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +115 or longer.
• San Diego State has an implied victory probability of 58% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Head-to-Head Comparison

• San Diego State was 262nd in the nation in points scored (70.8 per game) and 18th-best in points conceded (64.6) last season.
• Last season, San Diego State was 194th in college basketball in rebounds (31.6 per game) and 202nd in rebounds conceded (31.5).
• With 13 assists per game last year, San Diego State was 219th in the nation.
• San Diego State was 79th in the nation in turnovers per game (10.1) and 85th in turnovers forced (12.3) last season.
• Last year New Mexico put up 80.5 points per game (33rd-ranked in college basketball) and gave up 70.6 points per contest (135th-ranked).
• New Mexico averaged 35.1 rebounds per game (32nd-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 31.3 rebounds per contest (187th-ranked).
• Last year New Mexico ranked 83rd in college basketball in assists, putting up 14.9 per game.
• New Mexico ranked 23rd-best in the nation by forcing 14 turnovers per game. It ranked 164th in college basketball by averaging 11 turnovers per contest.

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