UMBC vs UMass-Lowell College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for America East Tournament

The top-seeded UMBC Retrievers (22-8, 14-2 America East) are taking on the No. 4 seed UMass-Lowell River Hawks (15-17, 9-7 America East) in the America East tournament on Tuesday at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena, at 6 p.m. ET airing on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Game time: 6 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Arena: Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena

UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UMBC win (88.2%)

Read the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Tuesday's UMBC-UMass-Lowell spread (UMBC -7.5) or total (147.5 points).

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UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UMBC has covered 17 times in 28 chances against the spread this season.
• UMass-Lowell is 16-13-0 ATS this year.
• As a 7.5-point favorite or more in 2025-26, UMBC is 5-2 against the spread compared to the 5-4 ATS record UMass-Lowell puts up as a 7.5-point underdog.
• Against the spread, the Retrievers have performed worse at home, covering seven times in 13 home games, and 10 times in 15 road games.
• Against the spread, the River Hawks have performed better at home (7-4-0) than away (9-9-0).
• UMBC has beaten the spread 12 times in 17 conference games.
• UMass-Lowell has covered the spread 10 times in 17 America East games.

UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UMBC has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (94.7%) in those games.
• This season, the Retrievers have been victorious eight times in nine chances when named as a favorite of at least -315 or better on the moneyline.
• UMass-Lowell has gone 4-12 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 25% of those games).
• The River Hawks have not yet won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +250 or longer in seven chances.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UMBC has a 75.9% chance of pulling out a win.

UMBC vs. UMass-Lowell Head-to-Head Comparison

• Offensively, UMBC was the 38th-ranked squad in college basketball (80 points per game) last season. Defensively, it was 22nd-worst (78.8 points allowed per game).
• Last season, UMBC was 294th in the country in rebounds (30 per game) and sixth-worst in rebounds allowed (35.7).
• At 14.6 assists per game last season, UMBC was 99th in the nation.
• At 11 turnovers committed per game and 12.1 turnovers forced last year, UMBC was 164th and 100th in college basketball, respectively.
• With 79.5 points per game on offense, UMass-Lowell ranked 47th in college basketball last season. Defensively, it gave up 74.1 points per contest, which ranked 241st in college basketball.
• Last year UMass-Lowell grabbed 32.5 boards per game (152nd-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 30.3 rebounds per contest (121st-ranked).
• Last year UMass-Lowell ranked 66th in college basketball in assists, dishing out 15.3 per game.
• UMass-Lowell ranked 267th in the nation with 12.1 turnovers per game last year. Meanwhile, it ranked 317th with 9.8 forced turnovers per game.

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