UCSB vs UC Davis College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big West Tournament

The No. 7 seed UCSB Gauchos (18-13, 11-9 Big West) will meet the No. 6 seed UC Davis Aggies (18-13, 11-9 Big West) in the Big West tournament Wednesday at Lee's Family Forum, tipping off at 11:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UCSB vs. UC Davis Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 11:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Henderson, Nevada
• Arena: Lee's Family Forum

UCSB vs. UC Davis Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UCSB win (58.3%)

UCSB is a 4.5-point favorite against UC Davis on Wednesday and the total is set at 139.5 points. Here's some betting trends and insights if you are planning on making a wager on the matchup.

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UCSB vs. UC Davis: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UCSB is 12-17-0 ATS this season.
• UC Davis is 16-13-0 ATS this season.
• UC Davis covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point underdog or more 50% of the time. That's more often than UCSB covers as a favorite of 4.5 or more (41.2%).
• The Gauchos have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered eight times in 13 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered three times in 13 opportunities in road games.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Aggies have a better winning percentage at home (.643, 9-5-0 record) than on the road (.467, 7-8-0).
• Against the spread, in conference action, UCSB is 9-11-0 this year.
• UC Davis' Big West record against the spread is 11-9-0.

UCSB vs. UC Davis: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UCSB has been the moneyline favorite in 21 games this season and has come away with the win 13 times (61.9%) in those contests.
• The Gauchos have a mark of 12-4 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -200 or better on the moneyline.
• UC Davis has been the moneyline underdog 16 total times this season. UC Davis has finished 5-11 in those games.
• The Aggies have a 3-5 record (winning only 37.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +164 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UCSB has a 66.7% chance of walking away with the win.

UCSB vs. UC Davis Head-to-Head Comparison

• UCSB was 157th in the nation in points scored (74.3 per game) and 78th in points conceded (68.8) last year.
• UCSB was 261st in the nation in rebounds per game (30.7) and 56th in rebounds conceded (29.1) last season.
• Last season UCSB was ranked 83rd in the country in assists with 14.9 per game.
• In terms of turnovers, UCSB was 221st in college basketball in committing them (11.5 per game) last year. It was 225th in forcing them (10.8 per game).
• Last season UC Davis posted 68.0 points per game (318th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendered 70.3 points per contest (122nd-ranked).
• UC Davis pulled down 29.8 boards per game (307th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 32.7 rebounds per contest (277th-ranked).
• UC Davis put up only 11.1 assists per contest, which ranked 16th-worst in college basketball.
• With 14.1 forced turnovers per game, UC Davis ranked 21st-best in college basketball. It ranked 317th in college basketball by committing 12.7 turnovers per contest.

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