Boise State vs San Jose State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 6 seed Boise State Broncos (20-11, 12-8 MWC) will meet the No. 11 seed San Jose State Spartans (8-23, 3-17 MWC) in the MWC tournament Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center, beginning at 11:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Boise State vs. San Jose State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 11:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: MW Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Boise State vs. San Jose State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Boise State win (90.1%)

Before you bet on Wednesday's Boise State-San Jose State spread (Boise State -14.5) or over/under (144.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Boise State vs. San Jose State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Boise State has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• San Jose State has compiled a 14-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• Boise State covers the spread when it is a 14.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That's less often than San Jose State covers as an underdog of 14.5 or more (62.5%).
• The Broncos have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 15 games at home, and they've covered seven times in 11 games when playing on the road.
• Against the spread, the Spartans have had better results on the road (7-6-0) than at home (6-9-0).
• Against the spread, in conference play, Boise State is 11-9-0 this year.
• San Jose State is 8-12-0 against the spread in MWC games this season.

Boise State vs. San Jose State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Boise State has been victorious in 14, or 77.8%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Broncos have been a -1587 moneyline favorite on four occasions this season and won every game.
• San Jose State has won one of the 24 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (4.2%).
• The Spartans have not yet won a game when it entered play as a moneyline underdog with odds of +860 or longer in seven chances.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Boise State has a 94.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Boise State vs. San Jose State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Boise State has a +161 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.2 points per game. It is putting up 78.3 points per game to rank 117th in college basketball and is giving up 73.1 per outing to rank 154th in college basketball.
• Boise State's leading scorer, Drew Fielder, is 317th in college basketball averaging 14.8 points per game.
• San Jose State is being outscored by 6.7 points per game, with a -209 scoring differential overall. It puts up 71.5 points per game (281st in college basketball), and gives up 78.2 per contest (301st in college basketball).
• Colby Garland's 20.3 points per game paces San Jose State and ranks 27th in the nation.
• The Broncos win the rebound battle by 7.0 boards on average. They collect 32.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 120th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 25.9 per contest.
• Fielder is 361st in college basketball action with 5.7 rebounds per game to lead the Broncos.
• The Spartans are 356th in the country at 26.9 rebounds per game. That's 4.7 fewer than the 31.6 their opponents average.
• Adrian Myers leads the Spartans with 4.6 rebounds per game (753rd in college basketball).
• Boise State scores 104.0 points per 100 possessions (48th in college basketball), while allowing 97.1 points per 100 possessions (231st in college basketball).
• The Spartans average 96.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (217th in college basketball), and give up 105.2 points per 100 possessions (357th in college basketball).

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