UConn vs Xavier College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 2 seed UConn Huskies (27-4, 17-3 Big East) and the No. 10 seed Xavier Musketeers (15-17, 6-14 Big East) play in the Big East tournament Thursday at Madison Square Garden, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UConn vs. Xavier Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Fox Sports 1
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

UConn vs. Xavier Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UConn win (87.2%)

Before you wager on Thursday's UConn-Xavier spread (UConn -16.5) or total (150.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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UConn vs. Xavier: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UConn has put together a 10-21-0 record against the spread this season.
• Xavier has put together a 16-16-0 ATS record so far this season.
• When the spread is set as 16.5 or more this season, UConn (2-7) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (22.2%) than Xavier (1-1) does as the underdog (50%).
• At home, the Huskies sport a worse record against the spread (4-13-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (5-6-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Musketeers have a better winning percentage at home (.500, 9-9-0 record) than on the road (.364, 4-7-0).
• UConn is 7-13-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
• Xavier has beaten the spread 11 times in 21 Big East games.

UConn vs. Xavier: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UConn has come away with 22 wins in the 26 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Huskies have been a -2500 moneyline favorite on four occasions this season and won every game.
• Xavier has won five of the 20 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (25%).
• The Musketeers have played as a moneyline underdog of +1100 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UConn has a 96.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

UConn vs. Xavier Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last season, UConn was 90th in college basketball on offense (77 points scored per game) and 56th on defense (68 points conceded).
• UConn was 111th in the country in rebounds per game (33.1) and second-best in rebounds conceded (25.9) last season.
• With 17.3 assists per game, UConn was eighth-best in college basketball last year.
• UConn committed 10 turnovers per game last year and forced 9.8 per game, ranking 71st and 317th, respectively, in the country.
• Offensively, Xavier scored 78.1 points per game (73rd-ranked in college basketball) last year. It ceded 71.6 points per contest at the other end (165th-ranked).
• Last season Xavier averaged 30 boards per game (294th-ranked in college basketball) and gave up 30.1 rebounds per contest (104th-ranked).
• With 16.7 dimes per game, Xavier ranked 21st-best in college basketball in the category.
• Xavier averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (108th-ranked in college basketball). It forced 11.6 turnovers per contest (146th-ranked).

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