Southern vs UAPB College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SWAC Tournament

The No. 6 seed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (13-18, 10-8 SWAC) will play in the SWAC tournament against the No. 3 seed Southern Jaguars (15-16, 11-7 SWAC) on Thursday at Gateway Center Arena, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Southern vs. UAPB Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN+
- Location: College Park, Georgia
- Arena: Gateway Center Arena
Southern vs. UAPB Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Southern win (64.9%)
See these betting insights and trends before you wager on Thursday's Southern-UAPB spread (Southern -5.5) or over/under (151.5 points).
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Southern vs. UAPB: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Southern has covered 12 times in 28 games with a spread this season.
- UAPB has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
- When the spread is set as 5.5 or more this season, Southern (3-7) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (30%) than UAPB (7-6) does as the underdog (53.8%).
- Against the spread, the Jaguars have fared worse when playing at home, covering three times in nine home games, and nine times in 19 road games.
- The Golden Lions' winning percentage against the spread at home is .333 (3-6-0). On the road, it is .450 (9-11-0).
- Southern has eight wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
- UAPB's SWAC record against the spread is 7-11-0.
Southern vs. UAPB: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Southern has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 17 games this year and has walked away with the win 10 times (58.8%) in those games.
- This season, the Jaguars have come away with a win six times in 10 chances when named as a favorite of at least -230 or shorter on the moneyline.
- UAPB has gone 5-10 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +188 or longer, the Golden Lions have a 3-6 record (winning only 33.3% of their games).
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Southern has a 69.7% chance of pulling out a win.
Southern vs. UAPB Head-to-Head Comparison
- Offensively, Southern was the 143rd-ranked squad in college basketball (74.8 points per game) last season. Defensively, it was 61st (68.3 points allowed per game).
- Southern was 42nd in the nation in rebounds per game (34.8) and 90th in rebounds conceded (29.8) last season.
- Southern was 219th in college basketball in assists (13 per game) last season.
- Southern was 259th in the country in turnovers per game (12) and ninth-best in turnovers forced (14.7) last season.
- UAPB's defensive performance was -4-worst in the country last year with 83.9 points allowed per game, but offensively it was more effective, scoring 72.3 points per game (221st-ranked in college basketball).
- UAPB ranked eighth-worst in the nation with 35.2 rebounds allowed per contest. Meanwhile, it averaged 30.5 boards per game (271st-ranked in college basketball).
- UAPB ranked 99th in the nation with 14.6 assists per game.
- UAPB committed 14.1 turnovers per game (ninth-worst in college basketball), and forced 12.1 turnovers per game (100th-ranked).
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