The No. 3 seed Troy Trojans (20-11, 13-5 Sun Belt) are squaring off against the No. 11 seed Texas State Bobcats (16-17, 7-11 Sun Belt) in the Sun Belt tournament on Saturday at Pensacola Bay Center, at 6:00 PM ET airing on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Troy vs. Texas State Game Info and Odds

• Game Day: Saturday, March 9, 2024
• Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Location: Pensacola, Florida
• Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Troy vs. Texas State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Troy win (74.8%)

See these betting trends and insights before you bet on Saturday's Troy-Texas State spread (Troy -5.5) or total (139.5 points).

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Troy vs. Texas State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Troy has put together an 18-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Texas State is 16-15-0 ATS this year.
• As a 5.5-point underdog or more in 2023-24, Texas State is 5-5 against the spread compared to the 7-3 ATS record Troy racks up as a 5.5-point favorite.
• When playing at home, the Trojans sport a better record against the spread (11-3-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (7-7-0).
• The Bobcats' winning percentage against the spread at home is .636 (7-4-0). On the road, it is .438 (7-9-0).
• Against the spread, in conference play, Troy is 11-7-0 this year.
• Texas State is 10-10-0 against the spread in Sun Belt games this year.

Troy vs. Texas State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Troy has been victorious in 15, or 88.2%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Trojans have come away with a win nine times in 10 chances when named as a favorite of at least -245 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Texas State has gone 6-12 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +198 or longer, the Bobcats have gone 2-7 (22.2%).
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Troy has a 71% chance of pulling out a win.

Troy vs. Texas State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Troy has a +291 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.4 points per game. It is putting up 79.9 points per game to rank 47th in college basketball and is giving up 70.5 per outing to rank 133rd in college basketball.
• Christyon Eugene's team-leading 15.2 points per game ranks 261st in the country.
• Texas State puts up 69.8 points per game (287th in college basketball) while allowing 70.0 per contest (119th in college basketball). It has a -8 scoring differential.
• Jordan Mason's 12.8 points per game paces Texas State and ranks 556th in the country.
• The Trojans win the rebound battle by an average of 4.3 boards. They are recording 38.8 rebounds per game (43rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 34.5 per contest.
• Thomas Dowd's 5.5 rebounds per game lead the Trojans and rank 469th in college basketball action.
• The Bobcats come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 1.4 boards. They are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game (189th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 33.7.
• Brandon Love tops the Bobcats with 5.5 rebounds per game (469th in college basketball).
• Troy scores 97.2 points per 100 possessions (133rd in college basketball), while allowing 85.7 points per 100 possessions (19th in college basketball).
• The Bobcats rank 241st in college basketball averaging 92.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 186th, allowing 93.0 points per 100 possessions.

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