Toledo vs Bowling Green College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MAC Tournament

The No. 4 seed Toledo Rockets (17-14, 11-7 MAC) will take the court in the MAC tournament against the No. 5 seed Bowling Green Falcons (18-13, 9-9 MAC), Thursday at 1:30 p.m. ET live on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Toledo vs. Bowling Green Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 1:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Arena: Rocket Arena

Toledo vs. Bowling Green Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Bowling Green win (50.2%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Toledo (-1.5) versus Bowling Green on Thursday. The total is set at 149.5 points for this game.

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Toledo vs. Bowling Green: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Toledo has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
• Bowling Green has put together a 12-16-0 record against the spread this year.
• Toledo covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point favorite or more 41.2% of the time. That's more often than Bowling Green covers as an underdog of 1.5 or more (28.6%).
• The Rockets have done a better job covering the spread on the road (9-5-0) than they have at home (6-7-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Falcons have a lower winning percentage at home (.357, 5-9-0 record) than on the road (.500, 6-6-0).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Toledo is 12-6-0 this year.
• Bowling Green has seven wins against the spread in 18 MAC games this season.

Toledo vs. Bowling Green: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Toledo has won in 11, or 64.7%, of the 17 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Rockets have a mark of 11-6 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -113 or better on the moneyline.
• Bowling Green has won one of the seven games it was the moneyline underdog this season (14.3%).
• The Falcons have a record of 1-6 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -106 or longer (14.3%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Toledo has a 53.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Toledo vs. Bowling Green Head-to-Head Comparison

• Toledo outscores opponents by 4.6 points per game (scoring 81.4 per game to rank 62nd in college basketball while giving up 76.8 per contest to rank 257th in college basketball) and has a +143 scoring differential overall.
• Toledo's leading scorer, Sonny Wilson, ranks 132nd in the country averaging 17.4 points per game.
• Bowling Green is outscoring opponents by 10.1 points per game, with a +313 scoring differential overall. It puts up 81.5 points per game (59th in college basketball) and gives up 71.4 per contest (111th in college basketball).
• Javontae Campbell's 18.8 points per game paces Bowling Green and ranks 64th in the nation.
• The Rockets record 30.3 rebounds per game (270th in college basketball) while conceding 32.2 per outing to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 1.9 boards per game.
• Sean Craig's 7.3 rebounds per game lead the Rockets and rank 123rd in college basketball action.
• The Falcons rank 133rd in college basketball at 32.7 rebounds per game. That's 2.2 more than the 30.5 their opponents average.
• Sam Towns averages 7.3 rebounds per game (123rd in college basketball) to lead the Falcons.
• Toledo averages 102.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (66th in college basketball), and allows 97.1 points per 100 possessions (231st in college basketball).
• The Falcons rank 72nd in college basketball averaging 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 50th, allowing 89.7 points per 100 possessions.

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