Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for June 16

Thunder vs. Pacers Game Info

• Date: Monday, June 16, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: ABC

The Indiana Pacers are 9.5-point underdogs heading into Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Monday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The series is knotted up at 2-2. The matchup has an over/under set at 223.5 points.

Thunder vs. Pacers Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (78%)

Thunder vs. Pacers Betting Trends

• The Thunder have put together a record of 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
• The Pacers have 37 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 44 times this season.
• The Pacers have eclipsed the over/under 53.7% of the time this season (44 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread at home (29-12-1) than it has in road games (25-14-1).
• The Thunder have gone over the over/under in 25 of 42 home games (59.5%), compared to 19 of 40 road games (47.5%).
• This year, Indiana is 19-21-1 at home against the spread (.463 winning percentage). Away, it is 18-22-1 ATS (.439).
• Both at home (22 of 41) and on the road (22 of 41), the Pacers' games have finished over (in terms of the over/under) 53.7% of the time.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 boards and 6.4 assists.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.6 points, 5.1 assists and 5.3 rebounds.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per game, shooting 58.1% from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 12 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Luguentz Dort's numbers on the season are 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 41.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.4 made treys.

Pacers Leaders

• Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 9.2 assists for the Pacers.
• Pascal Siakam's numbers on the season are 20.2 points, 6.9 boards and 3.4 assists per game. He is sinking 51.9% of his shots from the floor and 38.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.6 triples.
• The Pacers are receiving 15.6 points, 6.5 boards and 1.5 assists per game from Myles Turner.
• Bennedict Mathurin averages 16.1 points, 5.3 boards and 1.9 assists. He is sinking 45.8% of his shots from the field and 34% from 3-point range, with 1.4 triples per contest.
• T.J. McConnell averages 9.1 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists. He is making 51.9% of his shots from the field.

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