Merrimack vs Siena College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MAAC Tournament Championship

The No. 1 seed Merrimack Warriors (23-10, 17-3 MAAC) will look to secure the MAAC championship and a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament when they play the No. 3 Siena Saints (22-11, 13-7 MAAC) on Tuesday at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Merrimack vs. Siena Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Atlantic City, New Jersey
• Arena: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall

Merrimack vs. Siena Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Siena win (50.1%)

Before making an informed wager on Merrimack-Siena matchup (in which Merrimack is a 1.5-point favorite and the total is set at 127.5 points), keep reading for a few betting trends and insights for Tuesday's game.

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Merrimack vs. Siena: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Merrimack is 20-13-0 ATS this season.
• Siena has covered 19 times in 33 games with a spread this year.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Siena is 3-2 against the spread compared to the 11-6 ATS record Merrimack puts up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• The Warriors have a better record against the spread in home games (9-2-0) than they do in away games (9-8-0).
• The Saints' winning percentage against the spread at home is .538 (7-6-0). Away, it is .562 (9-7-0).
• Merrimack is 15-7-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
• Siena has 13 wins against the spread in 22 MAAC games this year.

Merrimack vs. Siena: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Merrimack has won in 15, or 88.2%, of the 17 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This year, the Warriors have won 15 of 16 games when listed as at least -137 or better on the moneyline.
• Siena has a 1-4 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 20% of those games).
• The Saints have played in four games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer without claiming a victory.
• Merrimack has an implied victory probability of 57.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Merrimack vs. Siena Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last year, Merrimack was ninth-worst in the country offensively (65.6 points scored per game) but 15th-best defensively (64.2 points conceded).
• Merrimack was the -1-worst squad in the country in rebounds per game (25.8) and -2-worst in rebounds allowed (37.4) last season.
• At 11.8 assists per game last year, Merrimack was 300th in the country.
• In terms of turnovers, Merrimack was third-best in college basketball in committing them (8.4 per game) last year. And it was 17th-best in forcing them (14.2 per game).
• Last season Siena averaged 72.2 points per game (225th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendered 72.1 points per contest (185th-ranked).
• With 29.7 rebounds per game, Siena was 310th in college basketball. It ceded 31.1 rebounds per contest, which ranked 172nd in college basketball.
• Siena ranked 300th in the country with 11.8 dimes per game.
• With 11.2 turnovers per game, Siena was 186th in the country. It forced 11.9 turnovers per contest, which ranked 121st in college basketball.

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