Merrimack vs Siena College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MAAC Tournament Championship

The No. 1 seed Merrimack Warriors (23-10, 17-3 MAAC) and the No. 3 Siena Saints (22-11, 13-7 MAAC) will face off to determine the MAAC champion on Tuesday at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Merrimack vs. Siena Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Atlantic City, New Jersey
• Arena: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall

Merrimack vs. Siena Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Merrimack win (52%)

Check out these betting trends and insights before you bet on Tuesday's Merrimack-Siena spread (Merrimack -3.5) or over/under (127.5 points).

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Merrimack vs. Siena: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Merrimack has compiled a 20-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• Siena has covered 19 times in 33 chances against the spread this year.
• As a 3.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Siena is 2-0 against the spread compared to the 8-5 ATS record Merrimack racks up as a 3.5-point favorite.
• The Warriors sport a better record against the spread in home games (9-2-0) than they do on the road (9-8-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Saints have a lower winning percentage at home (.538, 7-6-0 record) than on the road (.562, 9-7-0).
• Merrimack's record against the spread in conference play is 15-7-0.
• Against the spread in MAAC play, Siena is 13-9-0 this season.

Merrimack vs. Siena: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Merrimack has been victorious in 15, or 88.2%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This year, the Warriors have won 11 of 12 games when listed as at least -162 or better on the moneyline.
• Siena is 1-4 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 20% of those games).
• The Saints have played as a moneyline underdog of +134 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Merrimack has a 61.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Merrimack vs. Siena Head-to-Head Comparison

• Merrimack averages 69.0 points per game (328th in college basketball) while allowing 66.5 per outing (26th in college basketball). It has a +80 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 2.5 points per game.
• Kevair Kennedy's team-leading 18.5 points per game ranks 72nd in the nation.
• Siena's +155 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 70.7 points per game (291st in college basketball) while giving up 66.0 per contest (18th in college basketball).
• Siena's leading scorer, Gavin Doty, ranks 112th in the nation, averaging 17.7 points per game.
• The 25.3 rebounds per game the Warriors average rank 363rd in the country, and are 9.1 fewer than the 34.4 their opponents collect per contest.
• KC Ugwuakazi's 5.0 rebounds per game lead the Warriors and rank 599th in college basketball play.
• The Saints record 30.6 rebounds per game (256th in college basketball) while conceding 28.9 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.7 boards per game.
• Doty's 7.0 rebounds per game lead the Saints and rank 152nd in the nation.
• Merrimack puts up 94.6 points per 100 possessions (247th in college basketball), while giving up 91.2 points per 100 possessions (76th in college basketball).
• The Saints' 97.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 194th in college basketball, and the 90.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 72nd in college basketball.

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