McNeese vs UT Rio Grande Valley College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Southland Tournament

The No. 2 seed McNeese Cowboys (26-5, 19-3 Southland) are squaring off against the No. 3 seed UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (19-13, 14-8 Southland) in the Southland tournament on Tuesday at The Legacy Center, at 9:30 p.m. ET airing on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Arena: The Legacy Center

McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: McNeese win (69%)

Before you bet on Tuesday's McNeese-UT Rio Grande Valley spread (McNeese -7.5) or over/under (140.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• McNeese has put together a 13-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• UT Rio Grande Valley has put together a 17-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• UT Rio Grande Valley covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point underdog or more 80% of the time. That's more often than McNeese covers as a favorite of 7.5 or more (43.5%).
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered seven times in 12 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered three times in 14 opportunities on the road.
• This season, the Vaqueros are 5-8-0 at home against the spread (.385 winning percentage). On the road, they are 11-5-0 ATS (.688).
• McNeese has covered the spread eight times in 22 conference games.
• UT Rio Grande Valley has 13 wins against the spread in 23 Southland games this season.

McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley: Moneyline Betting Stats

• McNeese has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 26 games this year and has walked away with the win 23 times (88.5%) in those games.
• The Cowboys have a mark of 21-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -345 or better on the moneyline.
• UT Rio Grande Valley has gone 4-5 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.4% of those games).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +270 or longer, the Vaqueros have a 1-3 record (winning just 25% of their games).
• McNeese has an implied victory probability of 77.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Head-to-Head Comparison

• On offense, McNeese was the 101st-ranked squad in the country (76.6 points per game) last year. On defense, it was 16th-best (64.5 points conceded per game).
• At 33.3 rebounds per game and 29.7 rebounds conceded, McNeese was 96th and 82nd in the country, respectively, last season.
• Last season McNeese was ranked 141st in the country in assists with 14.0 per game.
• McNeese was 87th in college basketball in turnovers per game (10.2) and 40th in turnovers forced (13.4) last year.
• Last year UT Rio Grande Valley averaged 76.7 points per game (96th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendered 74.0 points per contest (240th-ranked).
• UT Rio Grande Valley ranked 127th in the country with 32.9 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 310th with 33.5 rebounds allowed per game.
• UT Rio Grande Valley racked up assists last year, ranking 10th-best in the nation with 17.2 per contest.
• Last season UT Rio Grande Valley averaged 12.8 turnovers per game (320th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 12.4 turnovers per contest (79th-ranked).

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