Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 9

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Monday, March 9, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: Peacock

The Oklahoma City Thunder (50-15) are favored (-7.5) to build on a five-game win streak when they host the Denver Nuggets (39-25) at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, March 9, 2026 at Paycom Center. The game airs on Peacock. The matchup has an over/under set at 230.5 points.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (73%)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 31-33-1 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets are 35-29-0 this season.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 35 times out of 64 chances this season.
• Nuggets games this season have eclipsed the over/under 62.5% of the time (40 out of 64 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City owns a worse record against the spread in home games (15-18-0) than it does in away games (16-15-1).
• When it comes to point totals, the Thunder hit the over less consistently when playing at home, as they've gone over the total 16 times in 33 opportunities this season (48.5%). In road games, they have hit the over 19 times in 32 opportunities (59.4%).
• This season, Denver is 14-16-0 at home against the spread (.467 winning percentage). On the road, it is 21-13-0 ATS (.618).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Nuggets' games have finished above the over/under at home (53.3%, 16 of 30) compared to away (70.6%, 24 of 34).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers on the season are 31.6 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 54.9% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 made 3-pointers.
• Chet Holmgren's numbers on the season are 17.3 points, 9 boards and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 55.2% from the floor and 35.6% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.3 made 3-pointers.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 8.9 points, 2.7 assists and 3.1 boards.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists, shooting 48.7% from the floor and 35% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 made treys per game.
• Isaiah Joe's numbers on the season are 11 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 44% from the field and 41.1% from downtown, with an average of 2.5 made 3-pointers.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.8 points, 12.5 rebounds and 10.3 assists for the Nuggets.
• The Nuggets are receiving 25.5 points, 4.3 rebounds and 7.2 assists per game from Jamal Murray.
• The Nuggets receive 13.7 points per game from Tim Hardaway Jr., plus 2.6 boards and 1.3 assists.
• The Nuggets receive 7.6 points per game from Bruce Brown, plus 4 rebounds and 2.2 assists.
• Per game, Jonas Valanciunas gives the Nuggets 8.6 points, 5 boards and 1.2 assists, plus 0.3 steals and 0.6 blocks.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, DeMarcus "Boogie" Cousins and Chandler Parsons weekdays at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/research/tv-and-podcast.