NCAAB

Tennessee vs Mississippi State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - SEC Tournament

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
Tennessee vs Mississippi State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - SEC Tournament

The top-seeded Tennessee Volunteers (24-7, 14-4 SEC) are squaring off against the No. 9 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-12, 8-10 SEC) in the SEC tournament on Friday at Bridgestone Arena, at 1:00 PM ET airing on ESPN.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Friday, March 15, 2024
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Tennessee win (72.6%)

Read these betting trends and insights before you wager on Friday's Tennessee-Mississippi State spread (Tennessee -9.5) or over/under (143.5 points).

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Tennessee has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
  • Mississippi State has won 15 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 17 times.
  • Tennessee covers the spread when it is a 9.5-point favorite or more 56.2% of the time. That's more often than Mississippi State covers as an underdog of 9.5 or more (never covered this season).
  • Against the spread, the Volunteers have fared better when playing at home, covering 11 times in 16 home games, and five times in 11 road games.
  • The Bulldogs' winning percentage against the spread at home is .400 (6-9-0). Away, it is .200 (2-8-0).
  • Tennessee has beaten the spread 11 times in 18 conference games.
  • Mississippi State's SEC record against the spread is 7-12-0.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Tennessee has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 23 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (78.3%) in those games.
  • This year, the Volunteers have won 10 of 11 games when listed as at least -550 or better on the moneyline.
  • Mississippi State has gone 5-6 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.5% of those games).
  • The Bulldogs have played as a moneyline underdog of +400 or longer in just two games this season, which they split 1-1.
  • Tennessee has an implied victory probability of 84.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Tennessee's +388 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 80.2 points per game (41st in college basketball) while giving up 67.7 per contest (63rd in college basketball).
  • Dalton Knecht's 21.4 points per game lead Tennessee and rank 11th in the nation.
  • Mississippi State is outscoring opponents by 5.8 points per game, with a +184 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.1 points per game (131st in college basketball) and gives up 69.3 per contest (97th in college basketball).
  • Josh Hubbard's 17.0 points per game leads Mississippi State and ranks 127th in the nation.
  • The Volunteers win the rebound battle by 3.6 boards on average. They collect 39.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 35th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 35.4 per contest.
  • Jonas Aidoo averages 7.6 rebounds per game (ranking 117th in college basketball) to lead the Volunteers.
  • The 38.6 rebounds per game the Bulldogs accumulate rank 45th in the country, 6.0 more than the 32.6 their opponents record.
  • Cameron Matthews' 6.9 rebounds per game lead the Bulldogs and rank 191st in the nation.
  • Tennessee averages 100.4 points per 100 possessions (59th in college basketball), while allowing 84.7 points per 100 possessions (11th in college basketball).
  • The Bulldogs rank 158th in college basketball with 95.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 59th defensively with 88.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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