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TCU vs Oklahoma State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

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TCU vs Oklahoma State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

The No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs (21-10, 11-7 Big 12) will take the court in the Big 12 tournament against the No. 14 seed Oklahoma State Cowboys (19-13, 6-12 Big 12), Wednesday at 9:30 p.m. ET live on ESPNU.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

TCU vs. Oklahoma State Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
  • Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Arena: T-Mobile Center

TCU vs. Oklahoma State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: TCU win (68.2%)

Before you bet on Wednesday's TCU-Oklahoma State spread (TCU -6.5) or over/under (157.5 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.

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TCU vs. Oklahoma State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • TCU is 18-13-0 ATS this season.
  • Oklahoma State has put together a 15-17-0 record against the spread this year.
  • When the spread is set as 6.5 or more this season, TCU (5-8) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (38.5%) than Oklahoma State (5-5) does as the underdog (50%).
  • The Horned Frogs have done a better job covering the spread on the road (6-3-0) than they have in home games (9-10-0).
  • In 2025-26 against the spread, the Cowboys have a lower winning percentage at home (.421, 8-11-0 record) than on the road (.444, 4-5-0).
  • TCU's record against the spread in conference games is 11-7-0.
  • Oklahoma State is 9-10-0 against the spread in Big 12 games this year.

TCU vs. Oklahoma State: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • TCU has won in 14, or 73.7%, of the 19 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
  • The Horned Frogs have a mark of 9-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -300 or better on the moneyline.
  • Oklahoma State has won five of the 18 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (27.8%).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +240 or longer, the Cowboys have a record of 2-8 (20%).
  • TCU has an implied victory probability of 75% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

TCU vs. Oklahoma State Head-to-Head Comparison

  • TCU is outscoring opponents by 6.5 points per game with a +204 scoring differential overall. It puts up 77.9 points per game (128th in college basketball) and gives up 71.4 per outing (109th in college basketball).
  • David Punch leads TCU, recording 13.6 points per game (467th in the country).
  • Oklahoma State outscores opponents by 1.7 points per game (posting 84.2 points per game, 24th in college basketball, and allowing 82.5 per outing, 351st in college basketball) and has a +52 scoring differential.
  • Anthony Roy's team-leading 17.0 points per game rank him 157th in college basketball.
  • The Horned Frogs record 32.2 rebounds per game (163rd in college basketball) while conceding 29.4 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.8 boards per game.
  • Punch averages 6.6 rebounds per game (ranking 208th in college basketball) to lead the Horned Frogs.
  • The Cowboys rank 70th in the country at 34.2 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 33.6 their opponents average.
  • Parsa Fallah tops the Cowboys with 6.0 rebounds per game (287th in college basketball).
  • TCU ranks 160th in college basketball with 98.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 57th in college basketball defensively with 90.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • The Cowboys average 99.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (132nd in college basketball), and allow 97.7 points per 100 possessions (252nd in college basketball).

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