Tarleton State vs Abilene Christian College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for WAC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Tarleton State Texans (14-17, 5-13 WAC) will meet the No. 6 seed Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-18, 5-13 WAC) in the WAC tournament Wednesday at Orleans Arena, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN+
- Location: Paradise, Nevada
- Arena: Orleans Arena
Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Tarleton State win (57%)
Take a look at these betting trends and insights before you wager on Wednesday's Tarleton State-Abilene Christian spread (Tarleton State -2.5) or over/under (135.5 points).
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Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Tarleton State has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
- Abilene Christian has put together a 12-16-0 record against the spread this year.
- Abilene Christian covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point underdog or more 58.3% of the time. That's more often than Tarleton State covers as a favorite of 2.5 or more (50%).
- The Texans have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (9-6-0) than they have at home (5-7-0).
- The Wildcats have performed better against the spread on the road (7-8-0) than at home (4-7-0) this year.
- Tarleton State has beaten the spread six times in 18 conference games.
- Abilene Christian's WAC record against the spread is 7-11-0.
Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Tarleton State has been victorious in eight, or 66.7%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- This year, the Texans have won six of nine games when listed as at least -134 or better on the moneyline.
- Abilene Christian has been the underdog on the moneyline 14 total times this season. Abilene Christian has finished 4-10 in those games.
- The Wildcats have a record of 2-7 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +112 or longer (22.2%).
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Tarleton State has a 57.3% chance of pulling out a win.
Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Head-to-Head Comparison
- On offense, Tarleton State was the second-worst squad in the nation (63.3 points per game) last year. Defensively, it was 91st (69.6 points allowed per game).
- Tarleton State was the sixth-worst squad in the country in rebounds per game (27.1) and 38th in rebounds allowed (28.6) last season.
- Tarleton State was eighth-worst in college basketball in assists (10.5 per game) last year.
- Last year, Tarleton State was -5-worst in the nation in turnovers committed (16.0 per game) but second-best in turnovers forced (15.9).
- With 70.6 points per game on offense, Abilene Christian ranked 266th in the nation last season. On defense, it ceded 70.3 points per contest, which ranked 122nd in college basketball.
- With 30.5 rebounds per game, Abilene Christian was 271st in the country. It gave up 30.8 rebounds per contest, which ranked 153rd in college basketball.
- Last year Abilene Christian ranked 214th in college basketball in assists, averaging 13.1 per game.
- Although Abilene Christian committed 14.5 turnovers per game (second-worst in college basketball), it ranked best in college basketball by forcing 16.3 turnovers per contest.
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