Sam Houston vs New Mexico State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for CUSA Tournament

The No. 2 seed Sam Houston Bearkats (21-10, 13-7 CUSA) face off against the No. 10 seed New Mexico State Aggies (16-15, 8-12 CUSA) in CUSA tournament Wednesday at Von Braun Center, starting at 9 p.m. ET. Both teams will try to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Huntsville, Alabama
• Arena: Von Braun Center

Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Sam Houston win (66%)

Sam Houston is a 3.5-point favorite over New Mexico State on Wednesday and the over/under is set at 153.5 points. Here's a few betting trends and insights before you place a wager on the game.

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Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Sam Houston has put together a 19-9-0 ATS record so far this year.
• New Mexico State is 14-14-0 ATS this season.
• As a 3.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, New Mexico State is 4-2 against the spread compared to the 7-5 ATS record Sam Houston racks up as a 3.5-point favorite.
• Against the spread, the Bearkats have performed worse at home, covering seven times in 11 home games, and 10 times in 15 road games.
• This season, the Aggies are 6-6-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). On the road, they are 5-6-0 ATS (.455).
• Sam Houston is 11-9-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
• New Mexico State has 10 wins against the spread in 21 CUSA games this season.

Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Sam Houston has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 15 games this year and has walked away with the win 13 times (86.7%) in those games.
• This season, the Bearkats have come away with a win 10 times in 11 chances when named as a favorite of at least -182 or better on the moneyline.
• New Mexico State has gone 4-8 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games).
• The Aggies have played four times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +150 or longer, and fell in each game.
• Sam Houston has an implied victory probability of 64.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Sam Houston vs. New Mexico State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Sam Houston's +265 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.6 points per game) is a result of scoring 83.0 points per game (38th in college basketball) while giving up 74.4 per outing (194th in college basketball).
• Po'Boigh King leads Sam Houston, recording 14.4 points per game (359th in the nation).
• New Mexico State has a +108 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.4 points per game. It is putting up 75.5 points per game, 184th in college basketball, and is allowing 72.1 per outing to rank 127th in college basketball.
• Jemel Jones' 17.8 points per game paces New Mexico State and ranks 105th in college basketball.
• The Bearkats win the rebound battle by 6.5 boards on average. They collect 36.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 21st in college basketball, while their opponents grab 30.0 per contest.
• Kashie Natt's 7.9 rebounds per game lead the Bearkats and rank 81st in college basketball action.
• The Aggies pull down 34.4 rebounds per game (62nd in college basketball) while conceding 31.2 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.2 boards per game.
• Julius Mims paces the team with 8.6 rebounds per game (48th in college basketball).
• Sam Houston averages 101.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (83rd in college basketball), and allows 91.4 points per 100 possessions (80th in college basketball).
• The Aggies rank 198th in college basketball with 97.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 100th defensively with 92.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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