St. Thomas vs South Dakota State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Summit League Tournament

The No. 2 seed Saint Thomas Tommies (23-8, 12-4 Summit League) and the No. 7 seed South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17, 7-9 Summit League) square off in the Summit League tournament Thursday at Denny Sanford Premier Center, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Summit League Network
• Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
• Arena: Denny Sanford Premier Center

St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: St. Thomas win (78.2%)

Read these betting insights and trends before you wager on Thursday's St. Thomas-South Dakota State spread (St. Thomas -5.5) or total (150.5 points).

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St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• St. Thomas is 14-14-0 ATS this season.
• South Dakota State is 13-15-0 ATS this season.
• As a 5.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, South Dakota State is 4-1 against the spread compared to the 10-7 ATS record St. Thomas puts up as a 5.5-point favorite.
• The Tommies have a worse record against the spread at home (6-6-0) than they do on the road (8-6-0).
• Against the spread, the Jackrabbits have had better results away (7-6-0) than at home (5-5-0).
• St. Thomas has nine wins against the spread in 16 conference games this season.
• South Dakota State has seven wins against the spread in 16 Summit League games this season.

St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• St. Thomas has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 23 games this year and has walked away with the win 19 times (82.6%) in those games.
• The Tommies have a win-loss record of 14-2 when favored by -295 or better by bookmakers this year.
• South Dakota State has been listed as the moneyline underdog a total of eight times this season, and it has lost all of those games.
• The Jackrabbits have not yet won a game when it entered play as a moneyline underdog with odds of +235 or longer in three chances.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies St. Thomas has a 74.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State Head-to-Head Comparison

• St. Thomas outscores opponents by 11.3 points per game (scoring 83.3 per game to rank 38th in college basketball while giving up 72 per outing to rank 127th in college basketball) and has a +350 scoring differential overall.
• Nolan Minessale's 19.8 points per game lead St. Thomas and rank 37th in the country.
• South Dakota State outscores opponents by 3.1 points per game (posting 75.7 points per game, 182nd in college basketball, and conceding 72.6 per outing, 143rd in college basketball) and has a +95 scoring differential.
• Joe Sayler's 14.5 points per game leads South Dakota State and ranks 343rd in the nation.
• The Tommies are 266th in college basketball at 30.4 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.1 their opponents average.
• Nick Janowski is 511th in college basketball play with 5.2 rebounds per game to lead the Tommies.
• The Jackrabbits win the rebound battle by 4.6 boards on average. They record 34.3 rebounds per game, 63rd in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.7.
• Damon Wilkinson averages 6.5 rebounds per game (217th in college basketball) to lead the Jackrabbits.
• St. Thomas' 108.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 13th in college basketball, and the 93.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 143rd in college basketball.
• The Jackrabbits average 99.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (141st in college basketball), and give up 95.3 points per 100 possessions (183rd in college basketball).

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