Michigan vs Iowa College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

Big Ten action on Thursday will see the the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (27-2, 17-1 Big Ten) visit the Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9, 10-8 Big Ten) at Carver-Hawkeye Arena, starting at 8 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. Iowa Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: Iowa City, Iowa
• Arena: Carver-Hawkeye Arena

Michigan vs. Iowa Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan win (63.4%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for Michigan (-9.5) versus Iowa on Thursday. The over/under has been set at 145.5 points for this game.

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Michigan vs. Iowa: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has compiled a 15-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• Iowa is 17-12-0 ATS this season.
• Michigan covers the spread when it is a 9.5-point favorite or more 42.9% of the time. That's less often than Iowa covers as an underdog of 9.5 or more (100%).
• The Wolverines have a better record against the spread when playing at home (8-6-0) than they do in road games (4-6-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Hawkeyes have a better winning percentage at home (.562, 9-7-0 record) than on the road (.500, 5-5-0).
• Michigan's record against the spread in conference action is 8-10-0.
• Iowa has eight wins against the spread in 18 Big Ten games this season.

Michigan vs. Iowa: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has come away with 25 wins in the 27 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Wolverines have a win-loss record of 19-1 when favored by -429 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Iowa has put together a 1-6 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 14.3% of those games).
• The Hawkeyes have played as a moneyline underdog of +330 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan has a 81.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Michigan vs. Iowa Head-to-Head Comparison

• On offense, Michigan was the 75th-ranked squad in the nation (78 points per game) last year. Defensively, it was 160th (71.5 points conceded per game).
• Michigan was 34th in the nation in rebounds per game (35) and 114th in rebounds allowed (30.2) last season.
• Last season Michigan was ranked 46th in the country in assists with 15.8 per game.
• In terms of turnovers, Michigan was 14th-worst in college basketball in committing them (13.6 per game) last year. And it was ranked 240th in forcing them (10.6 per game).
• Iowa was forced to lean on its offense, which ranked 16th-best in college basketball (82.5 points per game), last year, as it ranked 16th-worst in college basketball on defense with just 79.7 points allowed per contest.
• Iowa ranked 21st-worst in the country with 34.4 rebounds allowed per game. Meanwhile, it pulled down 29.7 boards per game (310th-ranked in college basketball).
• Iowa was one of the best teams in college basketball in terms of assists, as it collected 18.3 per game (third-best in college basketball).
• With 9.5 turnovers per game, Iowa ranked 35th in the country. It forced 12 turnovers per contest, which ranked 112th in college basketball.

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