St. Thomas vs North Dakota College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Summit League Tournament

The No. 2 seed Saint Thomas Tommies (24-8, 12-4 Summit League) head into the Summit League tournament against the No. 3 seed North Dakota Fightin' Hawks (17-16, 10-6 Summit League) on Saturday at Denny Sanford Premier Center, starting at 10:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

St. Thomas vs. North Dakota Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 7, 2026
• Game time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
• Arena: Denny Sanford Premier Center

St. Thomas vs. North Dakota Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: St. Thomas win (87.4%)

Before you decide to wager on St. Thomas-North Dakota contest (in which St. Thomas is an 11.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 153.5 points), keep reading for a few betting insights and trends for Saturday's game.

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St. Thomas vs. North Dakota: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• St. Thomas is 15-14-0 ATS this season.
• North Dakota is 18-12-0 ATS this season.
• As an 11.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, North Dakota is 5-2 against the spread compared to the 5-6 ATS record St. Thomas racks up as an 11.5-point favorite.
• The Tommies own a worse record against the spread in home games (6-6-0) than they do on the road (8-6-0).
• The Fightin' Hawks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .538 (7-6-0). On the road, it is .667 (10-5-0).
• St. Thomas has beaten the spread 10 times in 17 conference games.
• North Dakota has beaten the spread 11 times in 17 Summit League games.

St. Thomas vs. North Dakota: Moneyline Betting Stats

• St. Thomas has won in 20, or 83.3%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Tommies have come away with a win 10 times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -719 or better on the moneyline.
• North Dakota has been the moneyline underdog 20 total times this season. North Dakota has gone 9-11 in those games.
• The Fightin' Hawks are 2-3 (winning 40% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +500 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies St. Thomas has a 87.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

St. Thomas vs. North Dakota Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last season, St. Thomas was 12th-best in the nation on offense (83.1 points scored per game) and ranked 263rd on defense (74.8 points conceded).
• On the boards, St. Thomas was 20th-worst in college basketball in rebounds (28.2 per game) last year. It was 247th in rebounds conceded (32.2 per game).
• With 15.4 assists per game last year, St. Thomas was 61st in college basketball.
• In terms of turnovers, St. Thomas was 19th-best in the country in committing them (9.2 per game) last year. It was 58th in forcing them (12.8 per game).
• North Dakota was ranked 82nd in college basketball offensively last season with 77.3 points per game, while defensively it was 18th-worst (79.5 points allowed per game).
• Last year North Dakota pulled down 34.5 boards per game (50th-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 32.0 rebounds per contest (233rd-ranked).
• Last season North Dakota ranked 286th in college basketball in assists, delivering 12.1 per game.
• North Dakota committed 11.1 turnovers per game (176th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while forcing 10.3 turnovers per contest (274th-ranked).

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