Spurs vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 12

Spurs vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Time: 9 p.m. ET
• Venue: Frost Bank Center -- San Antonio, Texas
• Coverage: ALT and FDSSW

The San Antonio Spurs (48-17) are 5.5-point favorites as they look to build on a nine-game home win streak when they take on the Denver Nuggets (40-26) on Thursday, March 12, 2026 at Frost Bank Center. The matchup airs at 9 p.m. ET on ALT and FDSSW. The matchup has an over/under set at 238.5 points.

Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Spurs vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (72.8%)

Spurs vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Spurs have covered the spread 34 times in 64 games with a set spread.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets are 37-29-0 this season.
• Games involving the Spurs have hit the over 27 times out of 66 chances this season.
• The Nuggets have gone over the point total 62.1% of the time this season (41 of 66 games with a set point total).
• San Antonio has done a better job covering the spread in away games (19-14-1) than it has in home games (15-12-3).
• When it comes to over/unders, the Spurs hit the over more consistently at home, as they've gone over the total 14 times in 31 opportunities this season (45.2%). In away games, they have hit the over 13 times in 34 opportunities (38.2%).
• This year, Denver is 15-16-0 at home against the spread (.484 winning percentage). Away, it is 22-13-0 ATS (.629).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Nuggets' games have finished above the over/under at home (51.6%, 16 of 31) than away (71.4%, 25 of 35).

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama averages 24.2 points, 11.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists.
• De'Aaron Fox is averaging 19 points, 6.3 assists and 3.7 boards.
• Stephon Castle averages 16.3 points, 4.9 boards and 6.9 assists.
• Keldon Johnson's numbers on the season are 12.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 53.6% from the floor and 38.2% from downtown, with an average of 1.2 made treys.
• Julian Champagnie is averaging 11.2 points, 1.5 assists and 5.8 rebounds.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.6 points, 12.5 rebounds and 10.4 assists for the Nuggets.
• The Nuggets get 25.5 points per game from Jamal Murray, plus 4.3 boards and 7.1 assists.
• Per game, Tim Hardaway Jr. gets the Nuggets 14 points, 2.6 boards and 1.3 assists, plus 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Bruce Brown's numbers on the season are 7.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. He is sinking 46.1% of his shots from the field.
• The Nuggets receive 8.6 points per game from Jonas Valanciunas, plus 5 boards and 1.2 assists.

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