Spurs vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 12

Spurs vs. Nuggets Game Info
- Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center -- San Antonio, Texas
- Coverage: ALT and FDSSW
The San Antonio Spurs (48-17) are 6-point favorites as they attempt to continue a five-game winning streak when they host the Denver Nuggets (40-26) on Thursday, March 12, 2026 at Frost Bank Center. The matchup airs at 9 p.m. ET on ALT and FDSSW. The over/under for the matchup is set at 237.5.
Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread
All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | -6 | 237.5 | -245 | +200 |
Spurs vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick
All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (72.8%)
Spurs vs. Nuggets Betting Trends
- The Spurs have put together a 34-26-4 record against the spread this season.
- The Nuggets are 37-29-0 against the spread this year.
- Games involving the Spurs have hit the over 27 times out of 66 chances this season.
- The Nuggets have hit the over 62.1% of the time this season (41 of 66 games with a set point total).
- San Antonio sports a worse record against the spread in home games (15-12-3) than it does in road games (19-14-1).
- At home, the Spurs go over the over/under 45.2% of the time (14 of 31 games). They've hit the over in 38.2% of away games (13 of 34 contests).
- Denver's winning percentage against the spread at home is .484 (15-16-0). Away, it is .629 (22-13-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Nuggets' games have finished above the over/under at home (51.6%, 16 of 31) compared to on the road (71.4%, 25 of 35).
Spurs Leaders
- Victor Wembanyama averages 24.2 points, 11.1 boards and 2.9 assists.
- De'Aaron Fox averages 19 points, 3.7 boards and 6.3 assists.
- Stephon Castle averages 16.3 points, 4.9 boards and 6.9 assists.
- Keldon Johnson's numbers on the season are 12.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 53.6% from the floor and 38.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 made 3-pointers.
- Julian Champagnie is averaging 11.2 points, 1.5 assists and 5.8 boards.
Nuggets Leaders
- Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.6 points, 12.5 boards and 10.4 assists for the Nuggets.
- The Nuggets get 25.5 points per game from Jamal Murray, plus 4.3 boards and 7.1 assists.
- Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 14 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists. He is making 46% of his shots from the field and 41.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 treys per game.
- Per game, Bruce Brown provides the Nuggets 7.5 points, 3.9 boards and 2.2 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
- Jonas Valanciunas' numbers on the season are 8.6 points, 5 boards and 1.2 assists per contest. He is draining 58.2% of his shots from the floor.
For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.
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