South Florida vs Charlotte College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for AAC Tournament

The No. 1 seed South Florida Bulls (23-8, 15-3 AAC) take on the No. 5 seed Charlotte 49ers (17-16, 9-9 AAC) in the AAC tournament Saturday at Legacy Arena at BJCC, beginning at 3 p.m. ET. Both teams will look to get one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
South Florida vs. Charlotte Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Game time: 3 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN2
- Location: Birmingham, Alabama
- Arena: Legacy Arena at BJCC
South Florida vs. Charlotte Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: South Florida win (84.6%)
See the betting trends and insights below before making a wager on Saturday's South Florida-Charlotte spread (South Florida -14.5) or total (153.5 points).
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South Florida vs. Charlotte: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- South Florida has put together a 15-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Charlotte is 18-13-0 ATS this season.
- As a 14.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Charlotte is 1-0 against the spread compared to the 4-2 ATS record South Florida racks up as a 14.5-point favorite.
- When playing at home, the Bulls own a worse record against the spread (8-5-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (7-5-0).
- Against the spread, the 49ers have performed better at home (9-7-0) than on the road (6-5-0).
- South Florida's record against the spread in conference action is 9-8-0.
- Charlotte has beaten the spread 12 times in 20 AAC games.
South Florida vs. Charlotte: Moneyline Betting Stats
- South Florida has won in 21, or 80.8%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
- The Bulls have not lost in seven games this year when favored by -1695 or better on the moneyline.
- Charlotte has won 27.8% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (5-13).
- The 49ers have played as a moneyline underdog of +890 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies South Florida has a 94.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
South Florida vs. Charlotte Head-to-Head Comparison
- With 74.4 points scored per game and 74.5 points conceded last year, South Florida was 155th in the nation offensively and 251st defensively.
- Last season, South Florida was 214th in college basketball in rebounds (31.3 per game) and 15th-worst in rebounds allowed (34.6).
- With 14.3 assists per game last season, South Florida was 119th in the country.
- South Florida committed 10.7 turnovers per game last year and forced 12.4 per game, ranking 135th and 79th, respectively, in the nation.
- Last year Charlotte put up 70.5 points per game (268th-ranked in college basketball) and gave up 74.5 points per contest (251st-ranked).
- While Charlotte ranked in the bottom 25 in the country in rebounds per game with 28 (17th-worst), it ranked 233rd in college basketball with 32 rebounds allowed per game.
- Charlotte dished out 12.2 dimes per game, which ranked them 279th in college basketball.
- Charlotte, who was 33rd in college basketball with 9.4 turnovers per game, forced 9.2 turnovers per contest, which was 19th-worst in the country.
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