SMU vs Syracuse College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for ACC Tournament

The No. 11 seed SMU Mustangs (19-12, 8-10 ACC) and the No. 14 seed Syracuse Orange (15-16, 6-12 ACC) meet in the ACC tournament Tuesday at Spectrum Center, tipping off at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

SMU vs. Syracuse Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Game time: 4:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ACC Network
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center

SMU vs. Syracuse Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: SMU win (69.9%)

SMU is a 4.5-point favorite against Syracuse on Tuesday and the over/under is set at 154.5 points. Keep reading for some betting insights and trends before making an informed wager on the contest.

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SMU vs. Syracuse: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• SMU has compiled a 13-18-0 record against the spread this season.
• Syracuse has compiled a 14-17-0 record against the spread this season.
• SMU (6-8) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 4.5 points or more this season (42.9%) than Syracuse (4-5) does as a 4.5+-point underdog (44.4%).
• Against the spread, the Mustangs have fared better when playing at home, covering eight times in 18 home games, and four times in 11 road games.
• The Orange's winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .444. They are 8-10-0 ATS on their home court and 4-5-0 on the road.
• SMU's record against the spread in conference action is 7-11-0.
• Syracuse's ACC record against the spread is 8-10-0.

SMU vs. Syracuse: Moneyline Betting Stats

• SMU has been victorious in 15, or 83.3%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Mustangs have been victorious 13 times in 14 chances when named as a favorite of at least -178 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Syracuse has been the moneyline underdog 14 total times this season. Syracuse has gone 3-11 in those games.
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +146 or longer, the Orange have gone 1-9 (10%).
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that SMU has a 64% chance of pulling out a win.

SMU vs. Syracuse Head-to-Head Comparison

• SMU's +205 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.6 points per game) is a result of scoring 85 points per game (20th in college basketball) while allowing 78.4 per contest (305th in college basketball).
• Kevin Miller ranks 48th in college basketball with a team-high 19.4 points per game.
• Syracuse is outscoring opponents by 1.3 points per game, with a +41 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.2 points per game (197th in college basketball) and allows 73.9 per outing (183rd in college basketball).
• Syracuse's leading scorer, Donnie Freeman, is 158th in the country, putting up 17 points per game.
• The Mustangs win the rebound battle by an average of 3.5 boards. They are collecting 34.1 rebounds per game (72nd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.6 per contest.
• Samet Yigitoglu paces the Mustangs with 7.8 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball play).
• The Orange lose the rebound battle by 2.5 boards on average. They record 30.8 rebounds per game, 245th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 33.3.
• Freeman's 7.4 rebounds per game lead the Orange and rank 111th in college basketball.
• SMU ranks 49th in college basketball with 104 points scored per 100 possessions, and 205th in college basketball defensively with 95.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Orange average 96.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (213th in college basketball), and concede 94.7 points per 100 possessions (165th in college basketball).

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