Siena vs Mount St. Mary's College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MAAC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Siena Saints (20-11, 13-7 MAAC) will play the No. 6 seed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (15-16, 11-9 MAAC) in the MAAC tournament Saturday at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Siena vs. Mount St. Mary's Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, March 7, 2026
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN+
- Location: Atlantic City, New Jersey
- Arena: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall
Siena vs. Mount St. Mary's Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Siena win (63%)
Check out these betting trends and insights before you bet on Saturday's Siena-Mount St. Mary's spread (Siena -3.5) or over/under (133.5 points).
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Siena vs. Mount St. Mary's: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Siena is 17-14-0 ATS this season.
- Mount St. Mary's is 18-12-0 ATS this year.
- Siena covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point favorite or more 57.1% of the time. That's more often than Mount St. Mary's covers as an underdog of 3.5 or more (50%).
- In home games, the Saints own a worse record against the spread (7-6-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (9-7-0).
- The Mountaineers have performed better against the spread on the road (11-7-0) than at home (7-5-0) this year.
- Siena is 11-9-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
- Mount St. Mary's has 12 wins against the spread in 20 MAAC games this year.
Siena vs. Mount St. Mary's: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Siena has come away with 19 wins in the 26 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- This season, the Saints have been victorious 17 times in 21 chances when named as a favorite of at least -170 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Mount St. Mary's has won 21.1% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-15).
- The Mountaineers have a 2-10 record (winning just 16.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +140 or longer.
- Siena has an implied victory probability of 63% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Siena vs. Mount St. Mary's Head-to-Head Comparison
- Siena averages 70.8 points per game (288th in college basketball) while giving up 66.5 per contest (25th in college basketball). It has a +135 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 4.3 points per game.
- Gavin Doty's 17.5 points per game lead Siena and are 119th in the country.
- Mount St. Mary's -61 scoring differential (being outscored by two points per game) is a result of putting up 68.4 points per game (332nd in college basketball) while allowing 70.4 per outing (83rd in college basketball).
- Mount St. Mary's leading scorer, Arlandus Keyes, is 674th in the country, averaging 12.2 points per game.
- The Saints come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of two boards. They are pulling down 30.4 rebounds per game (266th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 28.4 per contest.
- Doty paces the Saints with seven rebounds per game (155th in college basketball play).
- The Mountaineers pull down 34.1 rebounds per game (71st in college basketball) while conceding 29.9 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 4.2 boards per game.
- Luke McEldon paces the team with 6.1 rebounds per game (272nd in college basketball).
- Siena averages 97.5 points per 100 possessions (188th in college basketball), while giving up 91.5 points per 100 possessions (85th in college basketball).
- The Mountaineers rank 341st in college basketball with 89 points scored per 100 possessions, and 85th defensively with 91.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
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