SFA vs Texas A&M-CC College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Southland Tournament

The top-seeded Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (27-4, 20-2 Southland) are squaring off against the No. 4 seed Texas A&M-CC Islanders (18-14, 13-9 Southland) in the Southland tournament on Tuesday at The Legacy Center, at 7 p.m. ET airing on ESPNU.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Arena: The Legacy Center

SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: SFA win (71%)

See these betting trends and insights before you bet on Tuesday's SFA-Texas A&M-CC spread (SFA -7.5) or total (134.5 points).

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SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• SFA has won 22 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
• Texas A&M-CC has won 15 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 13 times.
• As a 7.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Texas A&M-CC is 2-4 against the spread compared to the 8-4 ATS record SFA racks up as a 7.5-point favorite.
• The Lumberjacks sport a worse record against the spread at home (10-4-0) than they do in away games (12-3-0).
• This season, the Islanders are 5-6-0 at home against the spread (.455 winning percentage). Away, they are 9-7-0 ATS (.562).
• Against the spread, in conference action, SFA is 17-5-0 this year.
• Texas A&M-CC has 13 wins against the spread in 23 Southland games this year.

SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC: Moneyline Betting Stats

• SFA has won in 21, or 91.3%, of the 23 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Lumberjacks have a win-loss record of 12-1 when favored by -319 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Texas A&M-CC is 4-9 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 30.8% of those games).
• The Islanders have played six times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +255 or longer, and fell in each game.
• SFA has an implied victory probability of 76.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC Head-to-Head Comparison

• On offense, SFA was the 21st-worst squad in college basketball (66.6 points per game) last year. On defense, it was 61st (68.3 points allowed per game).
• With 33.6 rebounds per game and 31.9 rebounds allowed, SFA was 75th and 226th in the country, respectively, last year.
• SFA was 268th in the nation in assists (12.4 per game) last season.
• Last year, SFA was 0-worst in college basketball in turnovers committed (14.6 per game) and 33rd in turnovers forced (13.6).
• Texas A&M-CC was 123rd in the country last year with 75.8 points per game. At the other end, it ranked 50th with 67.4 points allowed per contest.
• Texas A&M-CC averaged 33 rebounds per game (119th-ranked in college basketball). It gave up 29.4 rebounds per contest (65th-ranked).
• Texas A&M-CC averaged 15 assists per game, which ranked them 77th in college basketball.
• With 11.2 turnovers per game, Texas A&M-CC ranked 186th in the country. It forced 12.8 turnovers per contest, which ranked 58th in college basketball.

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