Rockets vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 16

Rockets vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Toyota Center -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage: ESPN and SCHN

The Minnesota Timberwolves (27-14) are 4.5-point underdogs against the Houston Rockets (23-15) at Toyota Center on Friday, January 16, 2026. The game starts at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN and SCHN. The matchup has an over/under of 221.5.

Rockets vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rockets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rockets win (53.4%)

Rockets vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Rockets have put together a record of 18-20-0 against the spread this season.
• The Timberwolves are 18-23-0 against the spread this year.
• Games involving the Rockets have hit the over 19 times out of 41 chances this season.
• Timberwolves games this year have eclipsed the over/under 20 times in 41 opportunities (48.8%).
• In home games, Houston has a worse record against the spread (6-9-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (12-11-0).
• The Rockets have hit the over on the over/under in seven of 15 home games (46.7%). They've fared better in away games, topping the total in 12 of 23 matchups (52.2%).
• This year, Minnesota is 9-12-0 at home against the spread (.429 winning percentage). Away, it is 9-11-0 ATS (.450).
• Looking at the over/under, Timberwolves games have finished over less often at home (seven of 21, 33.3%) than away (13 of 20, 65%).

Rockets Leaders

• Kevin Durant averages 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists, shooting 51.3% from the floor and 39% from downtown, with 2.1 made treys per contest.
• Amen Thompson's numbers on the season are 18.7 points, 7.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 51.1% from the floor.
• Alperen Sengun averages 21.5 points, 9 rebounds and 6.5 assists.
• Jabari Smith Jr. is averaging 15.1 points, 1.8 assists and 7 boards.
• Reed Sheppard's numbers on the season are 12.8 points, 2.6 boards and 3.2 assists per contest, shooting 44.1% from the floor and 40.3% from downtown, with an average of 2.4 made treys.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 22.2 points, 7.1 rebounds and 5.7 assists. He is also sinking 49.4% of his shots from the floor and 33.8% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.
• Rudy Gobert's numbers on the season are 11 points, 11.4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. He is making 71.7% of his shots from the floor (first in NBA).
• Per game, Naz Reid gives the Timberwolves 14.6 points, 6.2 boards and 2.4 assists, plus 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 13.4 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game from Donte DiVincenzo.
• The Timberwolves get 14.8 points per game from Jaden McDaniels, plus 4.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists.

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