Purdue vs Wisconsin College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 7

Big Ten play on Saturday will see the the No. 15 Purdue Boilermakers (23-7, 13-6 Big Ten) host the Wisconsin Badgers (21-9, 13-6 Big Ten) at Mackey Arena, beginning at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Purdue vs. Wisconsin Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 7, 2026
• Game time: 4:15 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: West Lafayette, Indiana
• Arena: Mackey Arena

Purdue vs. Wisconsin Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Purdue win (77.3%)

If you are planning on making a wager on Purdue-Wisconsin contest (in which Purdue is an 8.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 156.5 points), below are some betting trends and insights for Saturday's game.

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Purdue vs. Wisconsin: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Purdue has won 13 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• Wisconsin has covered 16 times in 30 games with a spread this year.
• Wisconsin covers the spread when it is an 8.5-point underdog or more 100% of the time. That's more often than Purdue covers as a favorite of 8.5 or more (41.2%).
• The Boilermakers have a worse record against the spread in home games (5-11-0) than they do on the road (6-5-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Badgers have a lower winning percentage at home (.529, 9-8-0 record) than away (.667, 6-3-0).
• Purdue has seven wins against the spread in 19 conference games this season.
• Wisconsin has 12 wins against the spread in 19 Big Ten games this season.

Purdue vs. Wisconsin: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Purdue has come away with 18 wins in the 24 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Boilermakers have not lost in 14 games this year when favored by -429 or better on the moneyline.
• Wisconsin has won 37.5% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (3-5).
• The Badgers have played as a moneyline underdog of +330 or longer in just two games this season, which they won both.
• Purdue has an implied victory probability of 81.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Purdue vs. Wisconsin Head-to-Head Comparison

• Purdue put up 77.3 points per game and allowed 70.4 last season, making them 82nd in the nation on offense and 126th defensively.
• On the boards, Purdue was 300th in college basketball in rebounds (29.9 per game) last year. It was 28th in rebounds conceded (28.2 per game).
• At 15.9 assists per game last season, Purdue was 42nd in college basketball.
• Purdue was 62nd in the country in turnovers per game (9.9) and 176th in turnovers forced (11.3) last year.
• Wisconsin put up 80.1 points per game (36th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while giving up 70.9 points per contest (143rd-ranked).
• Wisconsin grabbed 33.1 boards per game (111th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 31.3 rebounds per contest (187th-ranked).
• Wisconsin delivered 14.5 dimes per game, which ranked them 105th in college basketball.
• Wisconsin was top-25 last year in turnovers, 19th-best in college basketball with 9.2 turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 331st with 9.6 forced turnovers per contest.

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