Premier League Betting Picks for Matchweek 23: Bet on Brighton to Bounce Back?

We finally have a full weekend of Premier League action, so let's dive into the betting market for these 10 matches.

When looking at the EPL soccer odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, which bets make the most sense for this matchweek?

EPL Betting: Matchweek 23

Crystal Palace at Brighton (10 a.m. ET Saturday)

Brighton Moneyline (-150)

In a match that's a derby despite the teams not being too close to each other, Brighton will host Crystal Palace. Neither team has been in great form, with each side notching just one win in their previous five matches.

Brighton might have hit a low point in the season on Tuesday, losing to Luton Town, 4-0. This was a fall from grace for a team who was legitimately competing with some of the best teams in the league last year and earlier this campaign.

The Seagulls still have a positive expected goal (xG) differential on the season, according to FBRef's model. Their per-90 xG differential is +0.13, ahead of the teams around them in the table like Tottenham, Manchester United and West Ham.

It's certainly better than Crystal Palace's xG differential, which currently sits at -0.29 per 90 minutes. Palace are in some danger of being dragged into the relegation zone, as they are currently only six points above it at the moment.

Palace could suffer a huge blow if either Michael Olise or Eberechi Eze are out injured. These two dominated the midweek match against Sheffield United and were really the only reason Palace were able to win. Both of this dynamic duo suffered injuries in that match, and if either of Olise or Eze can't play at Brighton, it's a huge blow to Palace's chances.

Brighton should be able to win this match at home, and laying the -150 is not too much, especially if Palace are without one of their stud attackers.

Fulham at Burnley (10 a.m. ET Saturday)

Under 2.5 Goals (-118)

Two teams in the lower half of the league table will face off on Saturday. It's definitely not the most glamorous fixture of the week, but it's all fun if we can cash a bet on it.

Fulham have scored in just one of their previous six EPL games, when they beat Arsenal, 2-1, on New Year's Eve. Raul Jimenez picked up an injury on Tuesday, which will keep him out for this game. He is the Cottagers' leading scorer in the league with five goals. Overall, Fulham are tied for 12th in goals in league, but they're just 15th in xG created.

Burnley aren't exactly a dynamic offensive team, either. They have scored the second-fewest goals in the EPL and have totaled the second-fewest xG.

Burnley find themselves in 19th place and desperately need at least a point in this game. They could decide to set up in a defensive style, especially if they score first. That would help keep this game under the total.

With a lack of attacking intent or a dangerous striker on either side, it's hard to see this game having a lot of goals. I'll take the under.

Player Props

Rasmus Hojlund to Score (+150): Once labeled a bust of a transfer, Rasmus Hojlund is starting to round into form for Manchester United.

The young Dane has scored goals in three consecutive games and in four of his last five outings in all competitions. He leads Manchester United in xG per 90 minutes across all competitions.

Man United will be at home against West Ham on Sunday and are -145 favorites to win. The Hammers are up at sixth in the table, but their underlying data isn't as good. They've allowed the fifth-most xG this season, as they have a style that allows the opponents to dominate possession.

If Manchester United are able to create chances, there will be decent opportunities for Hojlund to score in this match.

Ollie Watkins to Assist (+340): Ollie Watkins is known as a goal-scorer, but he is also a prolific creator. Watkins is tied for the league lead with eight assists. He's outperformed his expected assists by 3.4, but he should be in and around the box in this game.

Aston Villa are playing against Sheffield United, who sit at the bottom of the league table. The Blades have the worst defensive record in the league, allowing 43.3 xG. That's nearly three more than any other team.

Watkins is +115 to score, but if we expect Villa to net a few goals in this match, we can take the bigger odds on Watkins to set up one of the goals.

Looking for more soccer betting opportunities? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook to check out all of the soccer odds.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.