Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: Game 5 Betting Odds: Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Player Props

Coming off an overtime loss on the road in Game 4, the Denver Nuggets carry a 3-1 series lead into Game 5 against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Game 5 tips off at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on NBA TV.

Here's what you need to know about Game 5.

All NBA odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 5 Betting Odds: Moneyline, Spread, and Total

• Moneyline:
  • Nuggets: -480
  • Timberwolves: +370
• Spread: Nuggets -10.0 (-110)
• Total: 220.0

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 5 Projections

Win projections via numberFire.

• Win Odds: Nuggets 75.5%

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 5 Player Props: Total Points and Double Double Odds

• Total Points:
  • Anthony Edwards: 28.5
  • Karl-Anthony Towns: 19.5
  • Rudy Gobert: 13.5
  • Aaron Gordon: 14.5
  • Michael Porter Jr.: 17.5
  • Nikola Jokic: 25.5
  • Jamal Murray: 22.5
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 9.5
  • Bruce Brown Jr.: 10.5
  • Mike Conley: 13.5
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 7.5
• To Record a Double Double:
  • Nikola Jokic: -650
  • Rudy Gobert: -150
  • Karl-Anthony Towns: +110
  • Aaron Gordon: +430
  • Jamal Murray: +440
  • Michael Porter Jr.: +450
  • Anthony Edwards: +500
  • Mike Conley: +600
  • Bruce Brown Jr: +3800

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Advanced Stats Breakdown

nERD via numberFire. Adjusted offensive/defensive ratings, pace, and shot distribution via DunksAndThrees.

• Nuggets:
  • nERD: 60.1 (7th)
  • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 116.9 (5th)
  • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 114.2 (18th)
  • Pace: 98.5 (21st)
  • Shot Distribution and Efficiency:
    • Rim: 39.0% (2nd) - 66.5% (3rd)
    • Mid: 24.9% (12th) - 43.4% (13th)
    • 3PT: 36.1% (21st) - 37.9% (4th)
• Timberwolves:
  • nERD: 49.2 (20th)
  • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 113.5 (23rd)
  • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 113.7 (10th)
  • Pace: 101.0 (10th)
  • Shot Distribution and Efficiency:
    • Rim: 38.7% (5th) - 64.9% (9th)
    • Mid: 23.2% (8th) - 43.2% (14th)
    • 3PT: 38.1% (14th) - 36.5% (13th)

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 5 Analysis

With their backs against the wall on Sunday, Minnesota responded in a big way, winning a tightly contested Game 4 in overtime to avoid a sweep and extend the series. Now they face an even more difficult task: winning a game against a Denver side that has been elite at home this season. The Nuggets finished the regular season with the second-best home win percentage (82.9%), and they averaged 119.4 points per home game on a league-leading 51.4 FG%.

Jokic has been exceptionally elite at Ball Arena this season, where he averaged 2.5 more rebounds and 2.6 more assists per game than on the road. He posted a ridiculous league-leading plus/minus of +15.0 at home, compared to +3.4 on the road. Denver's dominance at home extends beyond their two-time MVP. They own the top three spots in individual plus/minus at home, with Aaron Gordon (+12.4) and Michael Porter Jr. (+11.5) behind Jokic, and four of the top five, with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (+10.5) sitting in fifth. Golden State Warriors's Andrew Wiggins (+10.9) is the only non-Denver player inside the top five.

Game 5 will be a challenge, but Minnesota has been decent on the road this season. Their 48.2% road win rate was eighth-best in the NBA and they posted a league-leading 49.6 FG% away from home, shooting 37.6% from behind the arc, good for fifth-best in the league.

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