Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game Info

• Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video and SportsNet LA

The Los Angeles Lakers (37-24) are underdogs (+4.5) as they try to build on a three-game winning streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (38-24) at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2026 at Ball Arena. The contest airs on Amazon Prime Video and SportsNet LA. The matchup has an over/under of 240.5 points.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction:

Nuggets vs. Lakers Betting Trends

• The Nuggets are 34-28-0 against the spread this season.
• In the Lakers' 61 games this season, they have 32 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over 39 times out of 61 chances this season.
• Lakers games this year have hit the over on 32 of 61 set point totals (52.5%).
• Denver sports a worse record against the spread when playing at home (13-15-0) than it does in road games (21-13-0).
• The Nuggets have gone over the total in 15 of 28 home games (53.6%). They've fared better in road games, going over the total in 24 of 34 matchups (70.6%).
• Against the spread, Los Angeles has had better results on the road (17-14-0) than at home (15-14-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Lakers games have gone over 18 of 30 times at home (60%), and 14 of 31 on the road (45.2%).

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic's numbers on the season are 28.7 points, 12.6 boards and 10.3 assists per contest, shooting 57% from the floor and 40.1% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.9 made 3-pointers.
• Jamal Murray is averaging 25.7 points, 7.3 assists and 4.4 boards.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 13.9 points, 2.7 boards and 1.3 assists, shooting 45.5% from the floor and 40.3% from downtown, with 2.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Bruce Brown's numbers on the season are 7.6 points, 4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest, shooting 46.3% from the field.
• Jonas Valanciunas is averaging 8.8 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.2 assists.

Lakers Leaders

• Luka Doncic is averaging 32.4 points, 7.7 boards and 8.6 assists for the Lakers.
• Per game, LeBron James gives the Lakers 21.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 7 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 0.6 blocks.
• Deandre Ayton averages 12.8 points, 8.3 rebounds and 0.9 assists. He is draining 66.8% of his shots from the field (second in league).
• The Lakers receive 23.8 points per game from Austin Reaves, plus 4.8 boards and 5.4 assists.
• Jake LaRavia averages 9.1 points, 4 boards and 1.9 assists. He is making 46.5% of his shots from the floor and 33% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per contest.

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