Northern Iowa vs UIC College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MVC Tournament Championship

The No. 6 seed Northern Iowa Panthers (22-12, 11-9 MVC) will aim to claim the MVC championship and a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament when they play the No. 5 UIC Flames (19-14, 12-8 MVC) on Sunday at 12 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Northern Iowa vs. UIC Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 8, 2026
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Arena: Enterprise Center

Northern Iowa vs. UIC Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Northern Iowa win (59.6%)

Before you wager on Sunday's Northern Iowa-UIC spread (Northern Iowa -2.5) or total (123.5 points), see the betting insights and trends below.

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Northern Iowa vs. UIC: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Northern Iowa has compiled a 17-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
• UIC has put together a 17-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• Northern Iowa covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 54.5% of the time. That's more often than UIC covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (50%).
• The Panthers sport a worse record against the spread when playing at home (7-9-0) than they do on the road (7-4-0).
• Against the spread, the Flames have been better at home (7-5-0) than on the road (8-7-0).
• Northern Iowa has 12 wins against the spread in 23 conference games this year.
• UIC has 15 wins against the spread in 22 MVC games this year.

Northern Iowa vs. UIC: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Northern Iowa has come away with 18 wins in the 26 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Panthers have a win-loss record of 17-4 when favored by -152 or better by bookmakers this year.
• UIC has won 37.5% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (6-10).
• The Flames have a 4-9 record (winning only 30.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +126 or longer.
• Northern Iowa has an implied victory probability of 60.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Northern Iowa vs. UIC Head-to-Head Comparison

• Northern Iowa's +288 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 69.5 points per game (318th in college basketball) while allowing 61.0 per contest (first in college basketball).
• Trey Campbell leads Northern Iowa, putting up 13.4 points per game (500th in the country).
• UIC has a +203 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.2 points per game. It is putting up 75.7 points per game, 182nd in college basketball, and is allowing 69.5 per contest to rank 64th in college basketball.
• Ahmad Henderson II's team-leading 12.1 points per game rank him 686th in the nation.
• The 28.5 rebounds per game the Panthers average rank 331st in the nation, and are 2.0 fewer than the 30.5 their opponents collect per outing.
• Tristan Smith leads the team with 5.0 rebounds per game (601st in college basketball action).
• The Flames pull down 33.1 rebounds per game (112th in college basketball) while conceding 29.5 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.6 boards per game.
• Mekhi Lowery tops the team with 5.9 rebounds per game (306th in college basketball).
• Northern Iowa averages 98.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (153rd in college basketball), and allows 86.8 points per 100 possessions (23rd in college basketball).
• The Flames' 97.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 197th in college basketball, and the 89.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 49th in college basketball.

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