North Dakota State vs North Dakota College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Summit League Tournament Championship

The No. 1 seed North Dakota State Bison (26-7, 14-2 Summit League) and the No. 3 North Dakota Fightin' Hawks (18-16, 10-6 Summit League) will play to decide the Summit League champion on Sunday at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Dakota State vs. North Dakota Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 8, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
• Arena: Denny Sanford Premier Center

North Dakota State vs. North Dakota Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Dakota State win (86.6%)

See these betting trends and insights before you wager on Sunday's North Dakota State-North Dakota spread (North Dakota State -10.5) or over/under (147.5 points).

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North Dakota State vs. North Dakota: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Dakota State has compiled a 19-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• North Dakota has compiled a 19-12-0 record against the spread this season.
• North Dakota State (3-3) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 10.5 points or more this season (50%) than North Dakota (6-4) does as a 10.5+-point underdog (60%).
• Against the spread, the Bison have fared better when playing at home, covering seven times in 11 home games, and nine times in 15 road games.
• This season, the Fightin' Hawks are 7-6-0 at home against the spread (.538 winning percentage). On the road, they are 10-5-0 ATS (.667).
• North Dakota State's record against the spread in conference action is 12-6-0.
• Against the spread in Summit League games, North Dakota is 12-6-0 this season.

North Dakota State vs. North Dakota: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Dakota State has been victorious in 21, or 87.5%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Bison have a win-loss record of 6-1 when favored by -671 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• North Dakota has gone 10-11 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.6% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +470 or longer, the Fightin' Hawks have a 3-4 record (winning 42.9% of their games).
• North Dakota State has an implied victory probability of 87% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

North Dakota State vs. North Dakota Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Dakota State's +371 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 81.1 points per game (71st in college basketball) while allowing 69.8 per outing (66th in college basketball).
• Damari Wheeler-Thomas paces North Dakota State, scoring 14.3 points per game (370th in the nation).
• North Dakota puts up 77.0 points per game (152nd in college basketball) while giving up 77.5 per outing (276th in college basketball). It has a -17 scoring differential.
• Greyson Uelmen's team-leading 16.6 points per game rank him 181st in college basketball.
• The Bison record 33.0 rebounds per game (116th in college basketball) while allowing 28.6 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 4.4 boards per game.
• Trevian Carson leads the Bison with 6.3 rebounds per game (242nd in college basketball action).
• The 30.1 rebounds per game the Fightin' Hawks accumulate rank 283rd in the nation, 2.8 fewer than the 32.9 their opponents grab.
• Eli King tops the Fightin' Hawks with 5.3 rebounds per game (478th in college basketball).
• North Dakota State puts up 104.0 points per 100 possessions (48th in college basketball), while giving up 89.6 points per 100 possessions (49th in college basketball).
• The Fightin' Hawks' 97.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 176th in college basketball, and the 98.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 274th in college basketball.

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