NHL Daily Fantasy Picks and Helper: Thursday 3/28/24

Scott Edwards Jr.
Scott Edwards Jr.@ScottEdwardsJr
NHL Daily Fantasy Picks and Helper: Thursday 3/28/24

NHL DFS is similar to MLB in terms of how you build lineups, how you view stacking, and how to value players.

Two main points to always focus on in NHL DFS are what lines the players are on and making sure the goalies you are rostering are confirmed as the starters.

Two of the best resources for that are LeftWingLock.com and DailyFaceOff.com. That is where you can find updated forward and power-play lines for each team, along with which goalies are confirmed as the starters.

Using our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, let's take a look at today's slate to find a goalie, some stacks, and value plays for your NHL DFS lineups on FanDuel.


Goalie to Target

Sergei Bobrovsky, Florida Panthers ($8,800)

It's a packed day today in the NHL world as 14 games are on the slate and ready to be played. When it comes to targeting a goalie for DFS lineups, Sergei Bobrovsky is the way to go.

While the salary may be high, it should prove to be worth it based on the matchups for tonight. The Florida Panthers will be taking on the New York Islanders, a team that is back to struggling after their hot run in February.

The Islanders averaged 29.84 shots for per 60 minutes (SF/60), a strong number for Bobrovsky to rack up saves against. And while goalscoring has improved for the Islanders, they're only 21st in the NHL with 2.93 goals for per 60 minutes (GF/60), the same as their expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60) average.

When it comes to Bobrovsky, it's hard to not love what he's done this year. The Panthers' netminder has a 2.41 goals against average (GAA) along with a .914 save percentage (SV%). Bobrovsky has also recorded 14.47 goals saved above expectation on the season.

Our projections expect the two-time Vezina Trophy winner to finish with 19.8 FanDuel points.


Minnesota Wild

Playing against the San Jose Sharks? That's makes the Minnesota Wild a must tonight for stacking their lineup.

As has been the case all season long, the Sharks are the worst team in the league when it comes to letting goals score. They have the 32nd-ranked expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) with a 3.65 clip. And somehow, they're outdoing that number with a staggering 3.99 goals against per 60 minutes (GA/6). That's as inviting of a matchup as there can be for a team like Minnesota.

The Wild aren't one to score a lot, but they're capable. Minnesota has totaled 3.00 GF/60 this season, right at their 3.02 xGF/60. Their Corsi for per 60 minutes (CF/60) is 17th in the league at a 60.45 mark, which should cause the necessary noise against San Jose, who have a brutal 70.37 Corsi against per 60 minutes (CA/60).

Stacking this lineup should start with Kirill Kaprizov ($9,700). The Wild's winger has averaged 19.0 FanDuel points per game -- an elite rate that is worth starting. The rest of a Wild stack should include Joel Eriksson Ek ($8,000) and Matthew Boldy ($7,600). All three make up the first line and are on the first power-play unit, giving them the potential for a huge night.

Carolina Hurricanes

The Carolina Hurricanes are a wagon and should have no problem facing the Detroit Red Wings.

numberFire's heat map has the Hurricanes set at a 3.88 implied total, the second-best of the slate.

The Red Wings have been up and down all season, but one thing they've done consistently is struggle to keep the puck out of their net. During this season, Detroit is allowing 3.30 GA/60, ranking 25th in the NHL. They're 26th when it comes to xGA/60 (3.24), as well.

Carolina's offensive onslaught has been the best in the league. The Hurricanes rank first with a 69.97 CF/60, sixth with a 3.30 xGF/60, and ninth with 3.33 GF/60. An offense like this is going to get the job done, especially against Detroit, who can't stop offenses (64.21 CA/60).

Jake Guentzel ($8,800), Sebastian Aho ($8,600), and Seth Jarvis ($6,800) are the line to stack. They've been a force since Guentzel was acquired at the trade deadline and are playing all the important minutes.

Value Skaters

Jordan Eberle, W, Seattle Kraken ($5,600)

Jordan Eberle has been on a tear recently and is in a good spot to deliver as a value play tonight.

The Seattle Kraken have a terrific matchup against the weak Anaheim Ducks, meaning Eberle should be able to keep things up. Heading into this game, the veteran has scored goals in back-to-back outings and has three goals in his last five games. That's a good stretch.

Overall on the season, Eberle has 17 goals, 23 assists, and 40 points in 67 games. It's quality output from a guy who is playing consistent top-line minutes on a night-to-night basis.

Our projections see a good night coming for the Kraken's winger, projecting him for 13.8 FanDuel points.

Evan Rodrigues, W, Florida Panthers ($4,500)

Evan Rodrigues plays on the top line of arguably the best team in hockey. Not a bad role to have, especially for a value.

Rodrigues doesn't necessarily light up the scoreboard every night, but he did score a goal in his last game -- that's the momentum we're working off of. Through 70 games, the forward has scored 11 goals and dished out 26 assists, bringing him to 37 overall points for the campaign.

With Aleksander Barkov and Vladimir Tarasenko alongside him on the first line, he should be able to record some points tonight against the Islanders. There's more value for him as he's also playing on the second power play for the Panthers.

Rodrigues is a darling in our projections, as per usual, coming into tonight with a projection of 13.5 FanDuel points.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.