Michigan vs Arizona College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Semifinals

A pair of hot teams square off when the Michigan Wolverines (35-3) visit the Arizona Wildcats (36-2) on April 4, 2026. The Wolverines will put their four-game win streak on the line against the Wildcats, winners of 13 straight.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. Arizona Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, April 4, 2026
• Game time: 8:49 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Lucas Oil Stadium

Michigan vs. Arizona Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arizona win (50.8%)

If you plan to place a wager on Michigan-Arizona matchup (in which Michigan is a 1.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 156.5 points), keep reading for some betting insights and trends for Saturday's game.

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Michigan vs. Arizona: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has compiled an 18-20-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Arizona has compiled a 24-14-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Arizona covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point underdog or more 100% of the time. That's more often than Michigan covers as a favorite of 1.5 or more (45.9%).
• The Wolverines have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 15 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered four times in 11 opportunities in away games.
• The Wildcats have been better against the spread at home (9-8-0) than on the road (5-5-0) this season.

Michigan vs. Arizona: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has been the moneyline favorite in 36 games this season and has come away with the win 33 times (91.7%) in those contests.
• This season, the Wolverines have come away with a win 33 times in 36 chances when named as a favorite of at least -125 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Arizona has not yet lost a game it was the moneyline underdog this season, going 3-0.
• The Wildcats have played three times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +104 or longer, and won in each game.
• Michigan has an implied victory probability of 55.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Michigan vs. Arizona Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan's +689 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 18.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 87.7 points per game (eighth in college basketball) while allowing 69.6 per contest (63rd in college basketball).
• Yaxel Lendeborg paces Michigan, putting up 15.2 points per game (286th in the nation).
• Arizona is outscoring opponents by 17.7 points per game, with a +672 scoring differential overall. It puts up 86.5 points per game (12th in college basketball) and gives up 68.8 per contest (52nd in college basketball).
• Brayden Burries' team-leading 16.1 points per game rank him 214th in the nation.
• The Wolverines record 36.8 rebounds per game (15th in college basketball) while allowing 27.1 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 9.7 boards per game.
• Morez Johnson Jr. leads the Wolverines with 7.3 rebounds per game (125th in college basketball play).
• The Wildcats record 39.8 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while allowing 27.8 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 12.0 boards per game.
• Tobe Awaka paces the team with nine rebounds per game (30th in college basketball).
• Michigan ranks eighth in college basketball by averaging 108.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 12th in college basketball, allowing 86.3 points per 100 possessions.
• The Wildcats average 106.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (23rd in college basketball), and give up 84.5 points per 100 possessions (sixth in college basketball).

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