NHL Betting Picks for Monday 3/11/24: Rangers, Devils Collide in Metro Action

Scott Edwards Jr.
Scott Edwards Jr.@ScottEdwardsJr
NHL Betting Picks for Monday 3/11/24: Rangers, Devils Collide in Metro Action

A four-game slate kicks off the week for NHL action.

Whether it's moneylines or total goals, there are plenty of ways to bet on the NHL action all season. It's a long 82-game campaign, meaning that the best selections of each night can be very different based on backup goalies coming into play, injuries that add up, and if teams are due for positive or negative swings.

Let's dive into the best bets for tonight.

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All NHL betting odds and totals are from the NHL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. All advanced statistics are used from MoneyPuck.com and NaturalStatTrick.com.

NHL Best Bets

New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

Rangers ML (-162)

The New York Rangers have consistently been one of the NHL's best teams this season, and they should be able to take care of business against the New Jersey Devils.

Not only has this Rangers team been dominant, but they're a rough matchup for the Devils. New Jersey has been underwhelming all year, and it's why they fired their head coach, Lindy Ruff, a week ago. Looking for answers has been the name of the game for the Devils, meaning the Rangers should take advantage.

In terms of putting the puck in the net, these two teams are identical. The Devils and Rangers are both scoring 3.28 goals for per 60 minutes (GF/60) on the campaign. New Jersey does have a slight edge in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60) at 3.37, which is top five in the league. The Rangers come in with just 3.19 xGF/60.

Where these teams truly differ is keeping the opponent from scoring, and a big reason the Devils will likely be missing the playoffs this season is their problems in goal.

While they just acquired Jake Allen at the deadline, it's likely too little too late. The Devils have allowed 3.45 goals against per 60 minutes (GA/60) on the season -- the sixth-most in the NHL. That came with the 10th-highest expected goals against average (xGA/60) of 3.14, which only shows how poor their play was in net.

New York, on the other hand, has held their opponents to just 2.66 GA/60 on the year, ranking fifth in that respect. It's a big reason why I'll be siding with the Rangers at home tonight.

numberFire's model gives the Rangers a 75.4% likelihood of getting the victory. The implied odds at this -162 moneyline are just 61.8%.

New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings

Islanders +1.5 (-188)

When the New York Islanders are considered the underdogs, I'll happily take them to cover with the roll they're on.

New York has won six straight games on their way to fighting for a playoff spot. They can keep it going tonight against a Los Angeles Kings team that is also doing what they can to land a playoff spot.

The main reason to go with the Islanders is that they've completely flipped the switch. In their last 10 games, New York is averaging 3.4 xGF/60 -- the sixth-best mark in that span. While they're likely due for a little negative regression after turning that expected number into even bigger results, averaging an insane 4.17 GF/60 in that time, the Isles are clearly creating a lot of chances right now.

Los Angeles couldn't be more the opposite. The Kings are totaling just 2.59 xGF/60, good for 28th over the last 10 games.

Both teams have been able to keep the puck out, though. It's been the Kings that have been able to keep things strong for themselves because of their 2.56 GA/60 for the season. The Islanders have been a tick worse at 2.88 GA/60, but that's still a good number. And of late, the Isles have the edge in this department. Over the last 10 games, New York is averaging 2.53 xGA/60 while the Kings are at 2.9 xGA/60.

In nearly every way at the moment, the Islanders are the better team. I'm comfortably siding with them tonight as they ride a wave of momentum in addition to their excellent play.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.