NFL Win Totals: Can the Titans Achieve Seven-Plus Wins in 2024?

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
NFL Win Totals: Can the Titans Achieve Seven-Plus Wins in 2024?

The Tennessee Titans are going to look quite different in 2024-25 after moving on from Mike Vrabel at head coach and allowing Derrick Henry to walk in free agency. Following a three-year stretch of advancing to the playoffs -- including two years where they reached the Divisional Round -- the Titans won just six games during the 2023-24 season.

There aren't lofty expectations for the Titans as they enter a new era under first-year head coach Brian Callahan. At the same time, Tennessee has been an extremely active team throughout the offseason, adding a handful of players via trade and on the free agent market.

It's only a matter of time before training camps get underway across the NFL, and FanDuel Sportsbook is offering NFL win totals for the Titans and the other 31 teams in the league. Let's discuss the odds and outlook for the Titans ahead of the 2024-25 campaign.

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after the article is published.

Tennessee Titans 2024 Win Total Odds

Titans Over/Under 6.5 Wins

  • Over: +110
  • Under: -134

Odds to Make the Playoffs: +440
Odds to Win the AFC South: +800
Odds to Win the AFC: +6500
Super Bowl Odds: +15000 (Tied 27th)

Key Offseason Coaching Changes:

  • Brian Callahan replaces Mike Vrabel as head coach
  • Nick Holz replaces Tim Kelly as offensive coordinator
  • Dennard Wilson replaces Shane Bowen as defensive coordinator
  • Bill Callahan hired as offensive line coach

Why Titans Could Win Over 6.5 Games

  • Titans have surrounded Will Levis with more weapons
  • Acquiring L'Jarius Sneed should drastically improve the secondary
  • Tony Pollard/Tyjae Spears can be an effective backfield duo

Since selecting Will Levis in the second round of the 2023 NFL Draft, the Titans have made a concerted effort to surround him with more weapons. After signing DeAndre Hopkins before last season, Tennessee has added Calvin Ridley and Tyler Boyd in free agency this offseason.

Across nine starts a season ago, Levis finished with a forgettable -0.10 expected points added per drop back and 40.6% passing success rate, via NextGenStats. Those numbers should improve for Levis with a more offensive-minded head coach and a much-improved group of skill players despite the departure of Henry.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Titans acquired L'Jarius Sneed in a trade with the Kansas City Chiefs. According to PFF, Sneed allowed the 15th-lowest reception percentage (52.0%) and recorded the 5th-most pass breakups (12) among cornerbacks with 50-plus pass-coverage snaps in 2023-24.

Aside from Sneed, the secondary should improve with Chidobe Awuzie also joining Tennessee during the offseason. Sneed, Awuzie, Roger McCreary, Amani Hooker, and Elijah Molden are a much better defensive back unit than the group the Titans deployed last year.

Replacing Henry will be easier said than done, but the Titans have two running backs who could see meaningful snaps. Aside from Tyjae Spears seeing an expanded role in his sophomore campaign, Tony Pollard has also joined Tennessee's new-look offense.

While Henry logged a 37.1% rushing success rate last season, Spears wasn't too far behind with a 36.0% rushing success rate. Despite Pollard producing a dismal -0.14 rushing yards over expected per carry in 2023-24 with the Dallas Cowboys, he's now over a full year removed from a season-ending leg and ankle injury.

Why Titans Could Win Under 6.5 Games

  • Is Will Levis the answer at quarterback?
  • Brian Callahan needs time to adjust to being a head coach
  • The offensive line could remain an issue

The Titans have undoubtedly given Levis enough weapons to give him a legitimate chance to prove he's the long-term solution under center. However, it remains to be seen if Levis has the tangibles to evolve into a franchise signal-caller in the NFL.

Even though Levis has a strong arm and can make tight-window throws, his accuracy needs refining, and his tendency to take sacks is far from ideal. Of the quarterbacks with 50-plus drop backs a season ago, Levis tallied the fifth-worst completion percentage (58.4%), and he had a dismal 9.9% sack rate with 28 sacks taken in nine starts.

Having success as a head coach immediately in the NFL is easier than done. While Callahan has experience as an offensive coordinator, he's never been a head coach at any level -- which isn't too uncommon.

That being said, there have been plenty of instances of first-year head coaches needing time to adjust to having a larger role and evolving the roster to their liking. It could be a year or two before the Titans can become a team that is capable of winning seven-plus games.

Along with Levis holding on to the ball too long at times -- in hopes of generating explosive plays down the field -- Tennessee's offensive line was woeful in 2023-24. Not a single one of the five starting offensive linemen for the Titans received a PFF pass-blocking grade higher than 68, and the team tied the New York Jets for the fourth-most sacks allowed (64).

The good news is that along with bringing in a proven offensive line coach like Callahan, the Titans added Lloyd Cushenberry and rookie JC Latham. Even though seven-plus wins is certainly obtainable for Tennessee entering the 2024-25 campaign, there are still a variety of reasons the Titans could fall short.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.