NFL Week 8 Spread and Total Predictions for Every Game

In the NFL, you're never lacking in prediction models to try to give you an idea of what to expect in a given week, whether those models are for betting or other purposes.

Below, we're going to run through what my spread and total models say about Week 8's NFL games.

As a disclaimer, this is my own, personal betting model. I'll lay out which bets I'm willing to make based on it compared to FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL betting odds, but as always, you'll have to decide for yourself whether there's enough value for you to the plunge, as well.

The spread model is largely based on numberFire's Net Expected Points (NEP) model, which is their version of EPA. The totals model factors in things such as pace and wind speed, as well. Numbers are manually edited to reflect the players who are expected to play in a given game.

Without further ado, here's what I've got for this upcoming slate of games.

Last updated Sunday at 11:31 am Eastern.

NFL Week 8 Predictions

Vikings at Chargers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Chargers -2.5

Total Prediction: 43.5

Betting Odds

Bills at Panthers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Bills -8.8

Total Prediction: 50.4

Betting Odds

Thoughts: Even with a downgrade in for Andy Dalton, I do like this over. The Carolina Panthers should be able to run well enough on the Buffalo Bills' defense to uphold their end of the bargain.

Jets at Bengals Prediction

Spread Prediction: Bengals -4.3

Total Prediction: 43.2

Betting Odds

Thoughts: At some point, even terrible teams become betting values. The New York Jets look like that here, even when I project Sauce Gardner as out. It's just a question of whether we feel good enough about that value to actually bet it.

Bears at Ravens Prediction

Spread Prediction: Bears -1.8

Total Prediction: 43.2

Betting Odds

Thoughts: Willing to back the Chicago Bears' moneyline now that Lamar Jackson has been ruled out.

Browns at Patriots Prediction

Spread Prediction: Patriots -8.3

Total Prediction: 43.2

Betting Odds

49ers at Texans Prediction

Spread Prediction: Texans -2.0

Total Prediction: 45.2

Betting Odds

Thoughts: Still willing to bet this over even with it looking like we'll see Mac Jones again.

Dolphins at Falcons Prediction

Spread Prediction: Falcons -6.7

Total Prediction: 45.0

Betting Odds

Giants at Eagles Prediction

Spread Prediction: Eagles -6.4

Total Prediction: 47.8

Betting Odds

Thoughts: This now reflects A.J. Brown's absence on Sunday. I do still feel comfortable with the over, though the enthusiasm is more muted now.

Buccaneers at Saints Prediction

Spread Prediction: Buccaneers -3.9

Total Prediction: 45.3

Betting Odds

Titans at Colts Prediction

Spread Prediction: Colts -14.4

Total Prediction: 49.8

Betting Odds

Cowboys at Broncos Prediction

Spread Prediction: Broncos -2.2

Total Prediction: 48.0

Betting Odds

Packers at Steelers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Packers -2.5

Total Prediction: 47.8

Betting Odds

Thoughts: The Pittsburgh Steelers' offense has been... kinda good? I'm buying it enough to bet the over here.

Commanders at Chiefs Prediction

Spread Prediction: Chiefs -12.1

Total Prediction: 55.4

Betting Odds

Thoughts: This now reflects that Marcus Mariota will start for the Washington Commanders. Still showing plentiful value in the over in large part thanks to the Kansas City Chiefs' now hyper-efficient offense.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.