NFL Passing Touchdowns Leader Odds: Dak Prescott Storms Ahead of the Pack

Entering Week 14, there are still a lot of questions that remain in the NFL season.

The race to the playoffs is in full swing. And with that, many of the top players are trying to finish first in several categories -- especially the quarterbacks with the MVP conversation still wide open with five weeks left to play.

One of the key stats in the MVP race will come down to passing touchdowns, which hasn't had a runaway name from the rest of the pack. The leader has switched weekly at this stage, keeping things wide open for someone to take over down the stretch, as we've seen in the last few weeks alone.

Let's take a look at the odds for the NFL passing touchdowns leader per FanDuel Sportsbook.

NFL Passing Touchdowns Leader Odds

Dak Prescott (+200)

What a season it's been for Dak Prescott. What a past few weeks it's been, specifically.

Prescott has been lights out since Week 8. After throwing for just six touchdowns over his first six games, Prescott has thrown for 20 over his last six.

Across those last six, he's had three four-touchdown performances, which has pushed him to the front of the pack -- something no one was expecting after his rather unforgettable start to the campaign.

Considering the expectations for Prescott coming into the season, his 26 touchdowns are all the more impressive to think about. He has two more touchdowns than second place. But can he hold onto it? That's the real question at this stage.

Well, the good news is that this week, he will take on the Philadelphia Eagles -- the same Eagles team that just got torched by Brock Purdy for four touchdowns through the air. And it's the same Eagles team that Prescott himself threw for 374 passing yards and 3 touchdowns against in Week 9.

From there, the Dallas Cowboys take on the Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins, Detroit Lions, and Washington Commanders. There's a chance every single one of those games will need to see Prescott match the other offense, so the potential for touchdowns is as high as can be.

With him being the favorite to lead in passing touchdowns and the co-favorite for MVP, all signs point to Prescott being a good bet here.

Tua Tagovailoa (+380)

Tua Tagovailoa has been consistently great since this season began.

The Dolphins sit atop the AFC with a 9-3 record. A big reason why has been the elite play of Tagovailoa, who has thrown for a touchdown in every single week thus far.

He, of course, stormed out the gates with a three-touchdown game in Week 1 and then a four-touchdown performance in Week 3. There hasn't been a time when Tagovailoa sat near the top of the leaderboard in touchdowns, even if he's slowed a tad bit over the last few weeks.

After throwing for 14 touchdowns in the first six weeks, he's dropped to 10 over his last six. That's still a strong effort, but think of the scores he could have had if Raheem Mostert and De'Von Achane weren't stealing them seemingly every week.

The coming weeks will be an interesting test for Tagovailoa. Both he and the Dolphins have struggled against winning teams, and they have the Dallas Cowboys, Baltimore Ravens, and Buffalo Bills in the final three weeks of the season.

Those are all good defenses that can limit success for the Dolphins, something that hasn't happened all too much.

Fading Tagovailoa, despite his season-long success, is of best interest.

Josh Allen (+380)

Turnovers have been a problem but touchdowns have not for Josh Allen.

Allen is tied with Tagovailoa for second place in touchdowns at 24. He's thrown for two or more touchdowns in 8 of his 12 games. The difficulty with Allen is that he adds a lot on the ground, as well, scoring nine rushing touchdowns already this season. When the Bills get into scoring range, it's always going to be Allen one way or another, but he ultimately limits his passing scores thanks to his rushing ability.

Over the last five weeks of the season, he will be facing the Chiefs, Cowboys, Chargers, Patriots, and Dolphins. Even with the Chiefs, Cowboys, and Patriots having tough defenses to collide with, they could quickly turn into back-and-forth games where Allen has to throw to give his team a chance.

If there's a name to take outside of the Prescott, it's Allen. He's never led the league before, but with how things have gone for Buffalo this season, he may have no choice when it's all said and done to throw more and more.

Patrick Mahomes (+600)

Is it safe to say that the only reason the odds are so high here is because he's Patrick Mahomes? Maybe, because it hasn't been the year we'd expect from the defending MVP.

In 12 games, Mahomes has just 22 touchdowns, including just 7 over his last 5 games. The struggles that have happened for Mahomes shouldn't be attributed to him but instead the problems he's had at receiver.

You could probably think of three or four drops off the top of your head when it comes just to Chiefs receivers -- and you didn't even have to watch the game in full to imagine them, either. Whether it's Marquez Valdes-Scantling dropping a wide-open touchdown for the lead, or guys like Kadarius Toney failing to make much of a difference -- it's all memorable. And it's the main reason why betting on Mahomes to lead the NFL in touchdowns for the third time in his career doesn't seem to be in the cards.

It's just one of those years for Mahomes and the Chiefs. The regular season may not look pretty, but we know when the playoffs come around, things may change.

Brock Purdy (+700)

Mr. Irrelevant doesn't only have the chance to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns, but he could win the MVP.

In their biggest game of the season against the Eagles in Week 13, Purdy threw for four touchdowns and left Philadelphia hunting for answers. It was the performance that moved Purdy to co-MVP favorites with Prescott while also putting him at 23 touchdowns on the year.

That leaves him three behind the Cowboys' quarterback for the league lead. Purdy has had an odd trend of registering his touchdowns. He's finished with one or fewer scores six different times but also has four games of three or more to his name. That's pretty inconsistent, but with the way it's gone with Purdy since coming into the starting job, you can't really predict what's next.

What we can look at is his schedule, which is certainly a welcoming one. Purdy and the 49ers will play the Seahawks, Cardinals, Ravens, Commanders, and Rams in the final five weeks. Only one of those matchups "scares" you, giving Purdy a great chance to win this race.

Purdy joins Allen on the list for us in terms of the non-favorites who are worth betting. If he can string together consistency following the four-touchdown outing against the Eagles, he can challenge Prescott with ease.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.