NBA Draft Odds: Who Will Be the No. 5 Pick?

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
NBA Draft Odds: Who Will Be the No. 5 Pick?

It's not easy being the Detroit Pistons.

A fumbling 2023-2024 season stamped Motor City with a franchise-worst 14-68 record, and the L's didn't stop there.

Despite securing the best chances to obtain the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NBA Draft, the draft lottery played out otherwise, and the Pistons will make the fifth overall selection next Wednesday, June 26th.

You can get in on the draft action via FanDuel Sportbook's NBA Draft Odds. The book has markets available for which player will be selected at each of the top 10 picks, as well as when and where Bronny James will be selected.

Let's check out the odds and candidates for the fifth overall pick and explore where the Pistons could turn when they are on the clock next week.

All NBA odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

NBA Draft No. 5 Pick Odds

Matas Buzelis+200
Cody Williams+400
Stephon Castle+500
Dalton Knecht+800
Reed Sheppard+800
Donovan Clingan+1000
Zaccharie Risacher+1500
View Full Table

Matas Buzelis (+200)

The consensus among key mock drafts indicates that Detroit has its sights set on Matas Buzelis with the fifth overall pick.

Buzelis is a five-star recruit from the Chicago area but opted to play professionally for the NBA G League Ignite in lieu of college ball.

The 6'10" forward averaged 14.3 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks in one season in the G League. Key players to come out of the Ignite development program include Jalen Green, Scoot Henderson, and Jonathan Kuminga.

He fits the bill of Detroit's positional needs, and the Lithuanian seems to be the team's north star in the draft. ESPN's Jeremy Woo reported that "the Pistons haven't worked out other players who are ticketed for the high lottery, contributing to the idea that Detroit is the probable floor for him."

The San Antonio Spurs own the fourth pick in the draft. While positional needs aren't a major emphasis in the NBA, it seems more likely than not that San Antonio would want to pair a fresh guard with Victor Wembanyama.

These +200 odds suggest just a 33.3% probability that Buzelis ends up in Detroit.

We have no way of quantifying what the real likelihood should be here. But since the Pistons are high on him and the preceding Spurs might not be in the market for a forward, I would conclude that Buzelis' chances of going fifth are a bit higher than these odds suggest.

Cody Williams (+400)

Cody Williams has the second-shortest odds in this market, but I'm not seeing enough talk surrounding the possibility of him going fifth.

Williams is both the favorite to go 7th (+400) and 10th (+500) on FanDuel, while the consensus mock has him going 12th.

The small forward averaged 11.9 points for the Colorado Buffaloes in his one-and-done season. We should hone in on alternate routes should Buzelis be off the board before the fifth selection, but Williams seems to be losing steam among the big boards.

Last week, Kevin O'Connor's mock draft stamped Williams as a Piston, with Buzelis being selected fourth. However, a since updated big board has Williams as the 12th-best prospect and Providence's Devin Carter, whose odds are not even listed in this market, as the 5th-best option.

This speculation goes to show how quickly things can change leading up to the draft. It seems there should be further separation between Buzelis and Williams in this market.

Stephon Castle (+500)

Cade Cunningham may be a living and breathing Piston, but an interesting one-two backcourt punch could be formed between him and Stephon Castle should the former Husky be available with the fifth selection.

Castle sports +200 odds (shortest) to be selected by the Spurs via the fourth overall pick. That move makes sense for more reasons than one, but if the Spurs opt to select Buzelis instead, we could see Castle fall into Detroit's hands.

He averaged 11.1 points and 4.7 rebounds in one season at UConn and served as an undeniable factor in their eventual National Championship victory.

Castle is touted as the draft's best prospect in Kevin O'Connor's latest big board. I wouldn't be surprised if the Pistons move in this direction should he be available and Buzelis be off the table.

Overall, the value in this market seems to lie with Matas Buzelis at +200. The draft is fraught with speculation, but Detroit has shown the most outright interest in him and there are grounds to expect his availability at the fifth spot.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.