NBA Betting Picks for Tuesday 2/13/24: The Suns Look to Keep Home Winning Streak Alive

The 82-game NBA regular season offers us a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. The Association features 1,230 regular season games, which can make sifting through the odds an overwhelming task.

However, various advanced statistics can help narrow the choices. numberFire's NBA power rankings and daily projections paired with advanced stats from the NBA can help give the inside track to winning big.

While utilizing some of the mentioned tools, which NBA odds from FanDuel Sportsbook look like the best bets today?

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Best Bets

Oklahoma City Thunder at Orlando Magic

Over 223 (-108)

The Orlando Magic, who are -750 to make the playoffs, have worked their way back up to a top-six seed thanks to their 5-1 record over their last six games. During this stretch, the over is 4-2, and the offense has really cranked it up with 120.5 points per game (PPG) over their previous two contests. Orlando and the Oklahoma City Thunder are among the top five best defensive ratings in the NBA, which has led to the low total of 223. Considering the Magic's recent success on offense, I like the over.

The Thunder are certainly capable of doing their part when it comes to scoring; Oklahoma City holds the fifth-best offensive rating while averaging 120.7 PPG (fourth-best) paired with a 57.4% effective field goal percentage (eFG%) -- the third-best mark in the Association. While Orlando holds an impressive defensive rating, it's mostly thanks to their slow pace that limits opponents' possessions. They give up the fewest field goal attempts per game while playing at the seventh-slowest pace.

The Magic's defense is still a tough nut to crack, but I believe OKC has the necessary tools to find success. For example, the Thunder total the sixth-most points in the paint, and Orlando has a mediocre interior defense with opponents shooting 55.4% on twos (13th-worst for defense) while allowing the 12th-fewest points in the paint. Neither category is an elite mark by any means, and two of the Magic's three worst defenders in the starting lineup are in the frontcourt with Paolo Banchero (114.4 defensive rating) and Wendell Carter Jr. (112.6 defensive rating).

On the other side of the court, Orlando looks to regularly attack the rim with the third-most shots per game within five feet of the basket. The Thunder's defense seems up to the task, though, with the third-best mark in opponent two-point percentage while giving up the third-fewest points in the paint. The three-point line could be the Magic's key for success.

Orlando totals the fewest three-point makes (10.9), but they are averaging 14.5 made threes while shooting 43.9% from beyond the arc over their past two contests. This is where Oklahoma City is vulnerable on defense, allowing the fifth-most three-point attempts and sixth-most makes.

Even with each team holding an exceptional defense, the offenses could have enough advantages for the over to hit.

Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns

Suns -5 (-112)

The Sacramento Kings are in the midst of perhaps their worst schedule stretch of the season. Following a seven-game road trip, the Kings only got two games at home before hitting the road once again for three straight away contests. Playing 10 of 12 games on the road is a brutal stretch that can wear on any team. It's certainly starting to show on Sacramento as they are 1-3 outright and against the spread (ATS) over their last four games.

Following Sunday's loss against the Thunder, the Kings have another tough challenge ahead against the Phoenix Suns, who is 5-2 outright and ATS over their past seven contests. The Suns have especially excelled at home with five straight wins. Phoenix could be in store for another cover ATS. Let's dig into the matchup.

As usual, the Suns' hot streak has been led by their offense, which has averaged 124.1 PPG over their last seven games. Sacramento's defense -- which has the 11th-worst rating -- could be in big trouble.

Phoenix is extremely efficient across the board with the fifth-best eFG%, sixth-best two-point percentage, and fourth-best three-point percentage. The Kings have the 3rd-worst mark in opponent eFG%, the worst mark in opponent three-point percentage, and 15th-best mark in opponent two-point percentage. This could mean big games for the Suns' leading three-point shooters: Eric Gordon (12.3 PPG), Devin Booker (28.0 PPG), and Grayson Allen (12.8 PPG). All three sharpshooters also convert better than 38.0% of their looks from deep.

Sacramento has surrendered at least 127 points in three of their last four games, and opponents have averaged 15.8 three-point makes while shooting 48.8% from deep against the Kings during the four-game span. Ultimately, I'm not sure how Sacramento's defense can come up with enough stops.

Minnesota Timberwolves at Portland Trail Blazers

Over 213.5 (-112)

The lowest total of tonight by a landslide is the Minnesota Timberwolves against the Portland Trail Blazers listed at 213.5. Minnesota leads the NBA in defensive rating while Portland has the second-worst offensive rating. It's not rocket science to see why the Trail Blazers could stumble on offense. Portland has few strengths when it comes to scoring -- such as attempting the 14th-most field goals per game and 17th-most threes each contest.

As expected from the league's defense, the T-Wolves usually have the answers for opposing offenses. That could be the case once again against the Blazers as Minnesota gives up the seventh-fewest shots and fourth-fewest threes per game.

This matchup's total is so low that it could just take a solid outing from one of the offenses. The Wolves' offense could lead to the over as they are averaging 124.3 PPG over their last three contests. Minnesota dominated the painted area in Monday's win over the Los Angeles Clippers with 64 points in the paint.

Portland gives up the fourth-most points in the paint while opponents shoot 58.6% on two-pointers (last for defense). The Blazers' starting frontcourt of Jabari Walker (119.9 defensive rating) and Deandre Ayton (117.4 defensive rating) also have weak defensive ratings. The T-Wolves' success in the paint could carry over to tonight's matchup.

I like Minnesota's chances of staying hot. With another big game from their offense, the over could be in line for success.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.