MLB

MLB Win Total Betting: How Many Games Will Red Sox Win in 2024

Scott Edwards Jr.
Scott Edwards Jr.@ScottEdwardsJr
MLB Win Total Betting: How Many Games Will Red Sox Win in 2024

The Boston Red Sox are looking to avoid yet another last-place finish in the American League East this season.

Boston entered the offseason going "full throttle" but did the complete opposite, as they will instead lean on their young core and strong lineup to get them by.

What is the Boston Red Sox's win total set at for 2024, per the MLB win totals at FanDuel Sportsbook?

The Red Sox's win total is listed at 77.5.

Let's dig into what we can expect from Boston this year and which side of the win total should interest you.

All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published. nERD via numberFire. Projections via FanGraphs.

Boston Red Sox Win Total Odds

Boston Red Sox Over/Under 77.5 Wins

  • Over: -113
  • Under: -113

Why Red Sox Could Win Over 77.5 Games (-113)

The Red Sox have one of the more interesting teams heading into the 2024 season. They still have top-end talent like Rafael Devers to lead the way, but a lot of this season will ride on the young playing to the highest of their abilities. It's the best way for their lineup to deliver -- which has been their backbone for multiple seasons in a row now.

If Boston is going to hit the over on their win total, it will need to be because of their lineup shining once again. Last season, they ranked 11th in both wOBA (.324) and runs scored (772). There's still part of the offense they need to improve, but if they can reach these numbers then there's a good chance their bats can get the job done.

Lineup-wise, they'll be really banking on a comeback season for Trevor Story. Since signing with the Red Sox two seasons ago, he's been continuously injured. Considering that he's hit 30 or more home runs in a season three times in his career, there's no doubt that a return to that in any form will be huge for this team. Boston will also need Triston Casas and Jarren Duran to take a leap -- both of whom figure into the top four in their lineup this season.

If other young talent like Ceddanne Rafaela and Vaughn Grissom can figure things out this season, then this offense has some impressive potential. Grissom was the key player in the Chris Sale trade with the Braves. While he's not going to start the season healthy, the hope is for him to return in late April.

Along with the lineup, another big reason why this team can win over 77.5 games is the backend of their bullpen. The duo of Chris Martin and Kenley Jansen is as good as it gets when it comes to shutting down teams in the 8th and 9th innings. If the Red Sox can get to those two, they're going to win a lot of games.

There's reason to have some optimism when looking at this Red Sox team, but they still have a tough mountain to climb if they want to win over 77.5 games.

Why Red Sox Could Win Under 77.5 Games (-113)

Pitching. It's as simple as that with the Red Sox team, and it's been that way for years now.

While I can sing the praises of Martin and Jansen, it's getting to those two that will be the toughest part of the Red Sox's season. The rotation will be made up of Brayan Bello, Nick Pivetta, Kutter Crawford, Garrett Whitlock, and Tanner Houck after Lucas Giolito, their big free agent signing from this offseason, got injured and is expected to miss the year.

Bello showed on Opening Day that he may be up to the challenge as the team's ace, going five innings and giving up just two runs. But that's one start, and the question marks are more so after him.

Whitlock has shown signs of dominance through the years -- especially as a reliever. But his track record as a starter certainly doesn't have the same numbers behind it. The same can be said for Houck, who has had an up-and-down run that has found him in and out of the bullpen, as well. Pivetta and Crawford were actual bright spots for the Sox last season, both posting sub-4.00 SIERAs.

Outside of Martin and Jansen, there will still be questions that need answering in the bullpen. They have four new names joining this year with Chase Anderson, Justin Slaten, Greg Weissert, and Isaiah Campbell. Anderson is a long-time vet, but the other three are still trying to prove themselves.

Beyond the pitching, it's the division that will be a deciding factor in the Red Sox potentially hitting the under on their win total.

While Boston did win 78 games last year, the division around them only improved. The New York Yankees, Toronto Blue Jays, Baltimore Orioles, and Tampa Bay Rays all have a real shot to make it to the postseason this year and, frankly, are the more talented teams as of this writing.

It goes back to the Red Sox's youth on this one. They'll need their young core besides Devers on both the pitching staff and in their lineup to all level up if they want to make things happen.

Winning over 77.5 games isn't going to be easy for Boston. It's easier to lean to the under because of all the talent around them in the AL East.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.