MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Wednesday 6/5/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Wednesday 6/5/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Wednesday 6/5/24

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees

Chris Paddack Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-154)
Juan Soto to Record an RBI (+120)

Combined Odds: +232

On Tuesday, Bailey Ober -- who has a 23.6% strikeout rate -- finished with just two strikeouts for the Minnesota Twins in the series opener versus the New York Yankees. After seeing Ober fall short of his strikeouts prop, we'll take Chris Paddack to record fewer than five Ks against the Yankees on Wednesday.

Despite being in the 77th percentile in chase rate (31.4%), Paddack is in the 34th percentile in whiff rate (23.1%) and 36th percentile in strikeout rate (20.3%) through 11 starts in 2024. While Paddack tallied five-plus strikeouts in four of his first seven starts, he's gone under five strikeouts in three of his last four.

Up to this point, Paddack is giving up a .328 wOBA, 1.42 WHIP, and 4.75 xFIP to lefties, compared to a .347 wOBA, 1.33 WHIP, and 3.14 xFIP to righties. With those numbers in mind, Juan Soto has a chance to have a noteworthy performance.

Soto is crushing right-handed pitchers to the tune of a .442 wOBA, .305 ISO, and 194 wRC+ in his first year in pinstripes while tallying at least one RBI in seven of his last 11 outings. Even though pitcher vs. batter metrics can be misleading at times, Soto has gone 3-for-6 with two homers against Paddack in his career.

Given his success against right-handed pitching and Paddack being in the 14th percentile in barrel rate (10.6%), it's worth noting that Soto has +290 odds to hit a home run on Wednesday.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays

Jose Berrios Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-152)
Adley Rutschman to Record 2+ Total Bases (+100)
Baltimore Orioles Alternate Total Runs: Over 2.5 (-265)

Combined Odds: +268

It was a solid start to the season for Jose Berrios, but the veteran righty for the Toronto Blue Jays had underlying metrics that could become an issue. Those issues have arisen as he is in the 38th percentile in xERA (4.15), 29th percentile in xBA (.261), 14th percentile in average exit velocity (90.5 MPH), and 18th percentile in hard-hit rate (44.3%) despite allowing a combined three earned runs in his first five starts.

Aside from registering the lowest swinging-strike rate (8.5%) of his career since his rookie year in 2016, Berrios is logging just a 19.9% strikeout rate while ranking in the 20th percentile in whiff rate (21.1%). Meanwhile, the Baltimore Orioles are posting the eighth-lowest strikeout rate (20.1%), seventh-highest wOBA (.318), sixth-highest wRC+ (109), and second-highest ISO (.193) versus right-handed pitching.

While right-handed bats are logging better metrics against Berrios, lefties are hitting the ball harder and in the air more. One player who has consistently given Berrios fits on the mound is Adley Rutschman, who has +520 odds to hit a home run in Wednesday's clash against the Blue Jays.

Across 21 career plate appearances versus Berrios, Rutschman has 12 hits, with five of those being extra-base hits, while also notching zero strikeouts. Besides hitting two homers in a matchup against Berrios earlier this season, Rutschman is amid an eight-game hit streak with multiple hits in two of his last three contests.

Just to continue the trend of fading Berrios on Wednesday, we'll also take the Orioles to score three-plus runs. Baltimore has tallied three-plus runs in 13 straight games while Berrios has surrendered multiple earned runs in six of his last seven starts.

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers

Kenta Maeda Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-164)
Adolis Garcia to Record an RBI (+120)

Combined Odds: +231

While it has been a rough stretch for the Texas Rangers at the plate recently, facing Kenta Maeda could remedy that on Wednesday. Maeda has been dreadful for the Detroit Tigers this season, sitting in the 18th percentile in xERA (4.84), 17th percentile in strikeout rate (17.1%), and 12th percentile in barrel rate (10.7%) while permitting five-plus earned runs in four of his nine starts.

Strikeouts could be tough to come by for Maeda as the Rangers are recording the sixth-lowest strikeout rate (19.6%) versus right-handed pitching. Right-handed bats have given Maeda the most trouble with a .410 wOBA, 3.26 HR/9, and just a 15.5% strikeout rate, compared to a .350 wOBA, 1.29 HR/9, and 18.7% strikeout rate to left-handed bats.

Provided that information, Adolis Garcia is one of the right-handed hitters who could have an explosive performance. Even though Garcia has been below-average versus righties thus far, it's tough to ignore the matchup against Maeda and a Detroit bullpen that has the 13th-highest SIERA (3.74), 12th-highest hard-hit rate (39.1%), and 8th-lowest strikeout rate (21.6%).

Additionally, Garcia is performing slightly better at home this year. Garcia is producing a .344 wOBA, .270 ISO, and 119 wRC+ at Globe Life Field while he's registering a .287 wOBA, .183 ISO, and 85 wRC+ in road games.

Besides leading the Rangers in RBIs (40), Garcia has totaled three RBIs in his last four contests. Seeing that Maeda has given up at least one home run in six of his nine starts, it's worth mentioning that Garcia has +330 odds to hit a home run.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.