MLB

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Tuesday 6/11/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Tuesday 6/11/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Tuesday 6/11/24

Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds

TJ Friedl to Record a Run (-120)
David Fry to Record an RBI (+115)

Combined Odds: +326

There are currently three games with a projected total of nine-plus runs on Tuesday, and one of those is the impending showdown between the Cleveland Guardians and the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Triston McKenzie continues to see his SIERA (4.80) and xFIP (4.94) climb in recent starts, allowing three-plus earned runs and multiple homers in each of his last three outings.

McKenzie has struggled against both sides of the plate, giving up a .317 wOBA, 5.40 xFIP, and 1.97 HR/9 to lefties, compared to a .366 wOBA, 4.47 xFIP, and 2.05 HR/9 to righties. With TJ Friedl expected to bat leadoff for the Reds versus a right-handed starter, we'll take him to record a run.

Friedl's numbers against right-handed pitching aren't where they were a season ago, but he's only been active in 17 games thus far. Since returning from injury on May 29, Friedl has tallied at least one hit in 8 of the 11 contests, and at least one run in 6 of the 11 games in that span.

Brent Suter is projected to be the opener for the Reds on Tuesday while Nick Martinez is expected to enter the game once Suter exits. Even though David Fry is hitting for more power against southpaws, he's been swinging the bat well versus righties, too.

Fry is sporting a .524 wOBA, .357 ISO, and 250 wRC+ when facing a left-handed pitcher -- in case Fry gets a plate appearance against Suter.

Meanwhile, Fry is still producing a .372 wOBA, .171 ISO, and 146 wRC+ when there is a right-handed pitcher on the mound.

With Fry registering an RBI in 6 of his last 10 appearances -- including back-to-back games -- we'll take him to continue his success at the plate. Ahead of yet another Dinger Tuesday, Fry is being given +450 odds to hit a home run.

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals

Paul Skenes to Record 7+ Strikeouts (-184)
Oneil Cruz to Record 2+ Total Bases (+105)

Combined Odds: +212

Paul Skenes hasn't taken long to show off his elite strikeout upside in his first five starts for the Pittsburgh Pirates. While Skenes is only in the 56th percentile in chase rate (29.0%), he is sitting in the 91st percentile in whiff rate (32.5%) and 97th percentile in strikeout rate (35.5%) with a fantastic 14.8% swinging strike rate.

On top of all of that, Skenes is also in the 86th percentile in xERA (2.79), 85th percentile in xBA (.208), and 80th percentile in walk rate (5.6%). Despite the St. Louis Cardinals improving in the strikeout department at the plate in recent weeks, Skenes has seven-plus Ks in four of his five outings, and the Cardinals still have the 10th-highest strikeout rate (23.7%) to right-handed pitchers.

Skenes' most recent start came against the Los Angeles Dodgers -- where he logged eight strikeouts and a win in five innings of action. The Dodgers own the 15th-lowest strikeout rate (22.4%) against right-handed pitching, so there's no reason to believe Skenes can't have success in middling matchups.

As for the Cardinals, they'll have Miles Mikolas on the bump for the 14th time this season. Mikolas is performing slightly worse against left-handed bats, giving up a .351 wOBA, .488 SLG, and 1.32 HR/9 in that split.

Taking that into account, Oneil Cruz could be set up for a productive showing at the plate. Cruz is posting a forgettable 31.8% strikeout rate versus right-handed pitching, but Mikolas is in just the 2nd percentile in whiff rate (16.5%) and 21st percentile in strikeout rate (17.8%).

Additionally, Cruz is seeing the ball well in recent games, tallying two-plus bases in three of his last four contests. Being that Cruz has hit a long ball in two of his last four appearances, it's worth mentioning that he has +460 odds to hit a home run.

Los Angeles Angels at Arizona Diamondbacks

Ketel Marte to Record 2+ Total Bases (-140)
Luis Rengifo to Record a Hit (-300)
Alternate Total Runs: Over 8.5 (-138)

Combined Odds: +219

Jose Suarez is set to make his first start of the campaign after making 16 appearances as a relief pitcher for the Los Angeles Angels this year. Despite Suarez logging a career-best 23.0% strikeout rate, he is in the 8th percentile in walk rate (13.5%), 30th percentile in barrel rate (8.7%), and 23rd percentile in hard-hit rate (42.4%) out of the bullpen.

Across seven starts and 11 appearances in 2023, Suarez finished with a 5.65 SIERA and 6.16 xFIP with a 12.1% walk rate, 39.7% hard-hit rate, and 11.2% barrel rate. With Suarez permitting a .371 wOBA, .486 SLG, and 5.12 xFIP against right-handed batters, Ketel Marte is someone from the Arizona Diamondbacks who could excel in this matchup.

Against left-handed pitching this season, Marte is registering a pristine .473 wOBA, .392 ISO, and 212 wRC+ with just an 11.2% strikeout rate in that split. Marte has achieved two-plus bases in four of his last seven games, and he's carrying +470 odds to hit a home run on Tuesday.

It has been a forgettable start in his debut year with the Diamondbacks for Jordan Montgomery. Through his first nine starts, Montgomery is recording career-worst marks in SIERA (4.99) and strikeout rate (13.8%).

Right-handed bats are sporting a .416 wOBA, .566 SLG, 1.86 WHIP, and 5.07 xFIP against Montgomery, making Luis Rengifo an intriguing player to target in this SGP. Rengifo is rocking a spectacular .467 wOBA, .200 ISO, and 207 wRC+ when facing southpaws in 2024.

With Suarez and Montgomery both struggling on the mound, we'll take the alternate over of 8.5 runs. Montgomery has surrendered four-plus earned runs in three of his last four starts while Suarez allowed six-plus earned runs in three of his seven starts in 2023.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.