MLB

MLB Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/9/24

Matthew Lo
Matthew Lo@holla2mlo
MLB Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/9/24

Baseball has you covered if you want a large inventory of options to bet.

From moneylines to run totals to first-five-inning wagers, we have plenty of ways to bet the long, arduous MLB schedule daily. Outlooks can be vastly different due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know if an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due for positive -- or negative -- regression.

Using numberFire's projections as a guide, which MLB odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today?

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Betting Picks

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals

Atlanta Braves Alternative Team Total Over 4.5 Runs (-170)
Marcell Ozuna to Record 2+ Bases (-135)

Despite averaging just three runs in their last four games, Atlanta's offense has a spot to exceed expectations with a 5.29 projected run total against rookie left-hander DJ Herz.

While a limited sample size is an issue when analyzing's Herz MLB performance, the 23-year old did not impress during his debut after he allowed a concerning 18.8% barrel rate on 16 batted balls and consistently accounted for poor command in in the minors with walk rates standing 13.6% in AA and 19.0% in AAA during his time with Washington's organization.

After allowing a .647 slugging percentage and a 16.7% home run to fly-ball ratio to right-handed bats in his first start, Atlanta's bats from this side should be prime targets for production with a heightened focus on Marcell Ozuna and his sizzling bat this month (.369 expected average, 73% hard hit rate).

Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals

Paul Goldschmidt to Record 2+ Bases (-115)

In a favorable spot versus Ty Blach, the Cardinals' veteran first baseman has a great opportunity to display his special ability to hit left-handers against a pitcher he has smoked for a .364 expected average previously.

Despite some concerns towards Goldschmidt's lackluster metrics this season, the 36-year old has continued to rake against southpaws in 2024 (110 wRC+, 36.2% hard hit rate) while also presenting signs of breaking out after he produced a .275 expected average and a 43% hard hit rate in his last 57 plate appearances.

With several encouraging data points supporting his recent form, expect "Goldy" to come through on Sunday afternoon in a spot he has excelled in historically.

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees

Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline (-126)

In a pitching battle between Tyler Glasnow and Luis Gil, the Dodgers are in position to complete a series sweep especially with Juan Soto expected to miss his third straight game.

While Luis Gil has been extremely impressive after producing a 3.56 xFIP, 1.8 Wins Above Replacement, and a eye-popping 31.5% K-rate in his largest sample size during his MLB career, the pitching advantage still goes to the "Blue Crew" when examining Glasnow's stellar profile (2.51 xFIP, 2.2 WAR) and a Dodgers' bullpen ranked higher in several important metrics (15th in xFIP versus 21st, 7th in WAR versus 16th).

With the edge in their arms and a key piece missing from New York's offense, our models project the value is clearly on the road team on Sunday night especially when analyzing an underrated 3.9% gap between the Dodgers' 59.6% win probability and their 55.7% implied percentage.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.