Michigan vs Wisconsin College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines (30-2, 19-1 Big Ten) and the No. 5 seed Wisconsin Badgers (24-9, 14-6 Big Ten) meet in the Big Ten tournament Saturday at United Center, tipping off at 1 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. Wisconsin Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Arena: United Center

Michigan vs. Wisconsin Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan win (76%)

Take a look at some betting trends and insights for Michigan (-12.5) versus Wisconsin on Saturday. The total has been set at 160.5 points for this game.

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Michigan vs. Wisconsin: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has put together a 15-17-0 record against the spread this season.
• Wisconsin has won 18 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 15 times.
• As a 12.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Wisconsin is 1-0 against the spread compared to the 8-12 ATS record Michigan racks up as a 12.5-point favorite.
• The Wolverines have done a better job covering the spread in home games (8-7-0) than they have in road affairs (4-7-0).
• The Badgers have been better against the spread away (7-3-0) than at home (9-8-0) this year.
• Michigan has beaten the spread eight times in 21 conference games.
• Wisconsin is 14-8-0 against the spread in Big Ten play this season.

Michigan vs. Wisconsin: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has come away with 28 wins in the 30 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This year, the Wolverines have won 18 of 19 games when listed as at least -1000 or better on the moneyline.
• Wisconsin has won five of the 10 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (50%).
• The Badgers have played as a moneyline underdog of +640 or longer in only one game this season, which they won.
• Michigan has an implied victory probability of 90.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Michigan vs. Wisconsin Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan outscores opponents by 18.9 points per game (scoring 87.9 per game to rank ninth in college basketball while allowing 69 per outing to rank 56th in college basketball) and has a +604 scoring differential overall.
• Yaxel Lendeborg ranks 345th in college basketball with a team-leading 14.5 points per game.
• Wisconsin has a +244 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.3 points per game. It is putting up 83.5 points per game, 30th in college basketball, and is giving up 76.2 per outing to rank 239th in college basketball.
• Wisconsin's leading scorer, Nicholas Boyd, ranks 21st in the nation, scoring 20.8 points per game.
• The Wolverines come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 9.7 boards. They are collecting 36.9 rebounds per game (14th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 27.2 per outing.
• Morez Johnson Jr. paces the Wolverines with 7.4 rebounds per game (113th in college basketball action).
• The Badgers are 165th in the country at 32.2 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.6 their opponents average.
• Nolan Winter's 8.6 rebounds per game lead the Badgers and rank 48th in college basketball.
• Michigan records 108.1 points per 100 possessions (15th in college basketball), while giving up 84.9 points per 100 possessions (eighth in college basketball).
• The Badgers rank 19th in college basketball with 107 points scored per 100 possessions, and 244th defensively with 97.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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