Michigan vs Tennessee College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Elite Eight

The No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines (34-3) will play the No. 6 seed Tennessee Volunteers (25-11) in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight on Sunday at United Center, airing on CBS beginning at 2:15 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Michigan vs. Tennessee Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Sunday, March 29, 2026
- Game time: 2:15 p.m. ET
- TV channel: CBS
- Location: Chicago, Illinois
- Arena: United Center
Michigan vs. Tennessee Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan win (67.5%)
Here's a look at some betting insights for Michigan (-7.5) versus Tennessee on Sunday. The over/under has been set at 146.5 points for this game.
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Michigan vs. Tennessee: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Michigan has compiled a 17-20-0 record against the spread this season.
- Tennessee has covered 18 times in 36 games with a spread this season.
- Against the spread, the Wolverines have performed better when playing at home, covering eight times in 15 home games, and four times in 11 road games.
- This season, the Volunteers are 8-9-0 at home against the spread (.471 winning percentage). On the road, they are 4-6-0 ATS (.400).
Michigan vs. Tennessee: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Michigan has been the moneyline favorite in 35 games this season and has come away with the win 32 times (91.4%) in those contests.
- The Wolverines have a win-loss record of 26-1 when favored by -375 or better by oddsmakers this year.
- Tennessee has won four of the seven games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (57.1%).
- The Volunteers have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +290 or longer.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan has a 78.9% chance of pulling out a win.
Michigan vs. Tennessee Head-to-Head Comparison
- Michigan has a +656 scoring differential, topping opponents by 17.7 points per game. It is putting up 87.5 points per game to rank eighth in college basketball and is allowing 69.8 per outing to rank 67th in college basketball.
- Michigan's leading scorer, Yaxel Lendeborg, ranks 312th in the country scoring 14.9 points per game.
- Tennessee's +376 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.3 points per game (93rd in college basketball) while allowing 68.9 per outing (56th in college basketball).
- Ja'Kobi Gillespie's team-leading 18.3 points per game rank him 79th in college basketball.
- The Wolverines are 15th in the nation at 36.8 rebounds per game. That's 9.9 more than the 26.9 their opponents average.
- Morez Johnson Jr.'s 7.3 rebounds per game lead the Wolverines and rank 125th in college basketball action.
- The Volunteers prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 13.5 boards. They are pulling down 39.3 rebounds per game (third in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 25.8.
- Nate Ament averages 6.4 rebounds per game (231st in college basketball) to lead the Volunteers.
- Michigan ranks eighth in college basketball by averaging 108.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 17th in college basketball, allowing 86.7 points per 100 possessions.
- The Volunteers average 100.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (97th in college basketball), and concede 87.4 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).
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