Michigan State vs UCLA College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 6 seed UCLA Bruins (22-10, 13-7 Big Ten) will square off in the Big Ten tournament against the No. 3 seed Michigan State Spartans (25-6, 15-5 Big Ten) on Friday at United Center, starting at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. UCLA Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Arena: United Center

Michigan State vs. UCLA Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (65%)

Before making an informed wager on Michigan State-UCLA matchup (in which Michigan State is a 5.5-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 142.5 points), keep reading for a few betting trends and insights for Friday's game.

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Michigan State vs. UCLA: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has compiled a 17-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• UCLA has covered 14 times in 32 games with a spread this season.
• When the spread is set as 5.5 or more this season, Michigan State (7-11) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (38.9%) than UCLA (2-4) does as the underdog (33.3%).
• In home games, the Spartans sport a worse record against the spread (8-9-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (6-4-0).
• The Bruins have performed better against the spread at home (10-8-0) than on the road (3-7-0) this year.
• Michigan State has beaten the spread 12 times in 20 conference games.
• UCLA is 10-11-0 against the spread in Big Ten action this year.

Michigan State vs. UCLA: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been victorious in 22, or 91.7%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Spartans have come away with a win 16 times in 17 chances when named as a favorite of at least -250 or shorter on the moneyline.
• UCLA has won 30% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (3-7).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +202 or longer, the Bruins have a 1-4 record (winning just 20% of their games).
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 71.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Michigan State vs. UCLA Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State has a +341 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11 points per game. It is putting up 78.8 points per game to rank 104th in college basketball and is allowing 67.8 per contest to rank 40th in college basketball.
• Jeremy Fears Jr. paces Michigan State, recording 15.5 points per game (269th in the country).
• UCLA puts up 77.8 points per game (131st in college basketball) while allowing 70.5 per contest (83rd in college basketball). It has a +232 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 7.3 points per game.
• Tyler Bilodeau's 18.1 points per game paces UCLA and ranks 93rd in college basketball.
• The Spartans are 11th in the country at 37.1 rebounds per game. That's 11.6 more than the 25.5 their opponents average.
• Jaxon Kohler averages 9.1 rebounds per game (ranking 27th in college basketball) to lead the Spartans.
• The Bruins grab 29.6 rebounds per game (304th in college basketball), compared to the 29.7 of their opponents.
• Bilodeau tops the team with 5.7 rebounds per game (363rd in college basketball).
• Michigan State ranks 40th in college basketball with 104.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 52nd in college basketball defensively with 89.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Bruins rank 47th in college basketball averaging 103.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 150th, allowing 94.2 points per 100 possessions.

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