Michigan State vs UCLA College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 3 seed Michigan State Spartans (25-6, 15-5 Big Ten) will hit the court in the Big Ten tournament against the No. 6 seed UCLA Bruins (22-10, 13-7 Big Ten), Friday at 9 p.m. ET live on Big Ten Network.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. UCLA Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Arena: United Center

Michigan State vs. UCLA Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (65%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Michigan State (-5.5) versus UCLA on Friday. The total is set at 141.5 points for this game.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Michigan State vs. UCLA: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• UCLA has covered 14 times in 32 matchups with a spread this season.
• As a 5.5-point favorite or more in 2025-26, Michigan State is 7-11 against the spread compared to the 2-4 ATS record UCLA racks up as a 5.5-point underdog.
• When playing at home, the Spartans sport a worse record against the spread (8-9-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (6-4-0).
• This season, the Bruins are 10-8-0 at home against the spread (.556 winning percentage). Away, they are 3-7-0 ATS (.300).
• Michigan State is 12-8-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
• UCLA's Big Ten record against the spread is 10-11-0.

Michigan State vs. UCLA: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been victorious in 22, or 91.7%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Spartans have a win-loss record of 17-1 when favored by -235 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• UCLA has been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. UCLA has finished 3-7 in those games.
• The Bruins are 2-5 (winning only 28.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +190 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan State has a 70.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Michigan State vs. UCLA Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State's +341 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11 points per game) is a result of scoring 78.8 points per game (104th in college basketball) while giving up 67.8 per outing (40th in college basketball).
• Jeremy Fears Jr. is 267th in college basketball with a team-high 15.5 points per game.
• UCLA is outscoring opponents by 7.3 points per game, with a +232 scoring differential overall. It puts up 77.8 points per game (131st in college basketball) and allows 70.5 per contest (83rd in college basketball).
• Tyler Bilodeau leads UCLA, recording 18.1 points per game (93rd in college basketball).
• The Spartans rank 11th in the nation at 37.1 rebounds per game. That's 11.6 more than the 25.5 their opponents average.
• Jaxon Kohler tops the Spartans with 9.1 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball action).
• The Bruins are 304th in the country at 29.6 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 29.7 their opponents average.
• Bilodeau tops the Bruins with 5.7 rebounds per game (364th in college basketball).
• Michigan State puts up 104.4 points per 100 possessions (40th in college basketball), while allowing 89.8 points per 100 possessions (51st in college basketball).
• The Bruins average 103.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (47th in college basketball), and concede 94.2 points per 100 possessions (150th in college basketball).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!