Miami (OH) vs UMass College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MAC Tournament

The No. 8 seed UMass Minutemen (16-15, 7-11 MAC) will play in the MAC tournament against the No. 1 seed Miami (OH) RedHawks (31-0, 18-0 MAC) on Thursday at Rocket Arena, tipping off at 11 a.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Miami (OH) vs. UMass Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 11 a.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Arena: Rocket Arena

Miami (OH) vs. UMass Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Miami (OH) win (77.3%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Miami (OH) (-7.5) versus UMass on Thursday. The total is set at 163.5 points for this game.

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Miami (OH) vs. UMass: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Miami (OH) has won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover nine times.
• UMass has compiled an 11-19-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Miami (OH) (11-6) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 7.5 points or more this season (64.7%) than UMass (3-0) does as a 7.5+-point underdog (100%).
• At home, the RedHawks own a worse record against the spread (8-5-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (10-4-0).
• Against the spread, the Minutemen have been better at home (5-10-0) than on the road (3-7-0).
• Miami (OH) is 11-7-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
• UMass has five wins against the spread in 18 MAC games this season.

Miami (OH) vs. UMass: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Miami (OH) has yet to lose any of the 24 games it has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The RedHawks have been a -345 moneyline favorite on 17 occasions this season and won every game.
• UMass has won four of the 12 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%).
• The Minutemen have a 1-2 record (winning only 33.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +270 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Miami (OH) has a 77.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Miami (OH) vs. UMass Head-to-Head Comparison

• Offensively, Miami (OH) was the 31st-ranked squad in college basketball (80.6 points per game) last season. Defensively, it was 204th (72.7 points conceded per game).
• Last year, Miami (OH) was 239th in the country in rebounds (30.9 per game) and 121st in rebounds allowed (30.3).
• Last season Miami (OH) was ranked 32nd in college basketball in assists with 16.2 per game.
• In terms of turnovers, Miami (OH) was 232nd in the country in committing them (11.6 per game) last season. It was 40th in forcing them (13.4 per game).
• On offense, UMass posted 72.9 points per game (205th-ranked in college basketball) last year. It ceded 75 points per contest at the other end (271st-ranked).
• UMass ranked 21st-best in the country by averaging 35.8 boards per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranked 321st in college basketball (33.8 allowed per contest).
• Last year UMass ranked 227th in college basketball in assists, putting up 12.9 per game.
• UMass averaged 11.2 turnovers per game (186th-ranked in college basketball). It forced 12 turnovers per contest (112th-ranked).

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